COVID is spreading 60% faster in rural areas

by FEdart

*Note 1: This is U.S. data – sorry for not specifying in the title.

*Note 2: This has a rough adjustment for testing rates between rural and urban areas.

I have a small stats blog where I apply analytics to current events. Recently, it’s been mostly analyzing COVID. I decided to take a cross section of Rural vs. Urban America during the so-called “Third Wave” of COVID we’ve been experienced since about October. See here for a link to the full article. I knew rural areas were being hammered, but what I found in the data was startling. COVID was spreading 60% faster in rural areas (which seems counterintuitive considering population density…). And daily mortality rates were more than double in rural areas!

We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!

Let me know if you have any questions!

Source: Johns Hopkins collected COVID data (pre-Thanksgiving data)

Tool: R

Edit: I have gotten a couple questions asking about how I defined rural. I used a government code called “Rural Urban Continuum Code”. More information can be found here. Suburbs did not count as rural under this definition.

Views:

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.