Even if the 5% positive test rate was a completely random sample, not at all enriched with people who think they’re sick, and even assuming a low 60% herd immunity threshold, 92k deaths at 5% infected implies a minimum of 1.1 million US fatalities for herd. Containment matters.

Even if the 5% positive test rate was a completely random sample, not at all enriched with people who think they’re sick, and even assuming a low 60% herd immunity threshold, 92k deaths at 5% infected implies a minimum of 1.1 million US fatalities for herd. Containment matters. t.co/3zoWvy9iHb

— John P. Hussman (@hussmanjp) May 20, 2020

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