by Kylome1
Historic SPY numbers show that if the market begins declining next week, or possibly the following Monday, it will match both the Dot-com crash and the Great Recession quite well.
- A peak to trough of 24 trading days vs and average of 30 for the previous
- A trough to peak of 19 trading days vs an average of 14.5 for the previous
(Dec 26th, 2007 could have also been used as a logical second peak, which would make the average trough to peak 20 days instead). - With a total peak to second peak of 42 trading days vs and average of 43.5 for the previous
| Dot-Com (2000, 2001, 2002) | Great Recession (2007, 2008, 2009) | COVID (2020, 2021, 2020) |
|---|---|---|
| Sept 1/00 close = 153.6 | Oct 12/07 close = 156.3 | Feb 9/00 close = 338.3 |
| Oct 10/00 close = 133.1 | Nov 26/07 close = 140.9 | Mar 23/00 close = 222.9 |
| Oct 30/00 50 x 200 day MA | Dec 10/07 close = 152.1 | Mar 30/00 50 x 200 day MA |
| Nov 6/00 close = 143.8 | Dec 21/07 50 x 200 day MA | Apr 17/00 close = 286.5 |
| Dec 20/00 close = 126.3 | Jan 22/08 close = 130.7 | |
| Apr 3/01 close = 110.4 | Sept 16/08 close = 124.0 | |
| Sep 21/01 close = 97.3 | Nov 20/08 close = 75.4 | |
| Oct 10/02 close = 78.1 | Mar 9/09 close = 68.1 |
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.
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