What if a Bear Market in Stocks Is Enough to Cause an Economic Slowdown on Its Own?

Tuesday drop for Dow and S&P biggest since Oct. 10 from CNBC.

via CNBC:

  • A bear market — an index decline of 20 percent or more from recent highs — would alter consumer behavior, argues Bleakley’s Peter Boockvar.
  • The last S&P 500 bear market happened during the financial crisis when the index lost 56 percent of its value.

A bear market in the S&P 500 — a decline of 20 percent or more from recent highs — would be a catalyst for an economic slowdown, according to Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group.

That kind of drop would alter consumer behavior, Boockvar told CNBC on Wednesday.

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“You’ll see consumers that are reining things in,” he added. “You’ll have CEOs and CFOs that say, ‘You know what, market is down 20 percent, and I have limited visibility now.'”

The last S&P 500 bear market happened during the financial crisis when the index lost 56 percent of its value from the then-record high close of 1,565 on Oct. 9, 2007 to the closing low of 676 on March 9, 2009.

That means the current bull market — the longest since World War II — has been rolling ever since then.

 

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