Scenario: The Pandemic/hospital situation becomes so bad in the US during December that people become terrified, all food shops are emptied out and most people – even many essential workers stop leaving home.

by mark000

Resource Availability
Law & Order OK
Hospitals Sorry Out Of Order Try Tomorrow
Goods Many become Out Of Stock
Utilities What if Workers sick/absent?
Financial System May Shit Itself in January

Bill Gates calls U.S.’s failure to contain the coronavirus ‘mind blowing,’ warns that colder months will be ‘very tough’ ARTICLE

Chart of Daily hospitalization (with COVID) level: covidtracking.com/data/charts/us-currently-hospitalized

What probability do you believe something this bad has of occurring? 10% 30% 50% 70% or 90%+
Might be wise to stock up so that you don’t have to leave home for the entire month of December if you rate it 50% or higher

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From Wikipedia: “Normalcy bias is a cognitive bias which leads people to disbelieve or minimize threat warnings. Consequently, individuals underestimate the likelihood of a disaster, when it might affect them, and its potential adverse effects.”
Most people in western countries have so little experience of “Overwhelmed Hospitals” and what that portends that they are incapable of taking the threat of such an event seriously.

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Edit:
WHO warns vaccine won’t help countries fend off current wave of infections
www.cnbc.com/2020/11/18/who-warns-vaccine-wont-help-countries-fend-off-current-wave-of-infections-.html

There is now aggressive, unrelenting, expanding broad community spread across the country, reaching most counties, without evidence of improvement but rather, further deterioration,” read the White House coronavirus task force’s latest weekly report, which was obtained by NBC News.