Screening Travelers for Coronavirus is Ineffective, UCLA Study Says

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Screening Travelers for Coronavirus is Ineffective, UCLA Study Says

Only two-thirds of infected travelers will be detected by departure screening in the best-case scenario, the study found, with the worst-case scenario reporting only 1 in 10 cases being detected. The most consistent factor of successful detection is fever screening, but because many travelers are still within the disease’s maximum incubation phase of two weeks, they are not likely to exhibit the symptom while moving through airports or other transit centers.


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“We don’t know much about this coronavirus, says Professor Mikhail Prokopenko, director of the Complex Systems Research Group at Sydney University.

“The data we’re getting at the moment is patchy… and I was surprised to see how fast it spread,” he told Yahoo News Australia on Thursday.

Along with the Marie Bashir Institute for Infectious Diseases and Biosecurity, Prof Prokopenko has previously used anonymised census data to model how fast an influenza pandemic could spread in Australian cities.

“Containing it is unlikely to be effective as we originally hoped,” he said of coronavirus.


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