In March 2021, the yield on a 10 year U.S. Treasury note averaged 1.61 percent. This forecast is for it to fall to 1.30 percent by November 2021

https://www.statista.com/statistics/247565/monthly-average-10-year-us-treasury-note-yield-2012-2013/ Mainstream consensus is 1.9% (if not 2.2%!) My own belief is sub-zero in August or Q4. In 1990 a multi-year downtrend began, ending in 1993. Also 2000 – 2003 and 2007 – 2012. All three episodes had “pauses” in …

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Welcome To (Treasury) Thunderdome! Overnight Reverse Repo Facility Surges To $104.7 Billion As Investors Seek Shelter From Negative Rates

by confoundedinterest17 The Treasury markets are getting blasted like in Thunderdome from Mel Gibson’s Mad Max Beyond Thunderdome. (Bloomberg) — The popularity of one Federal Reserve overnight deposit facility has surged as investors look for shelter from negative rates in short-term markets, which …

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It appears the recent move in the US 10-year Treasury yield from 1.2% to 1.7% had very little to do with inflation expectations.

by mark000 https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2021/03/04/business/financial-markets/bonds-stock-japanese-economy-global-economy-u-s-treasuries/ [March 4] Japanese funds sold a record $34 billion of foreign bonds in the two weeks ended Feb. 26 as the nation’s fiscal year-end [on 31] March approaches — enough to cause reverberations in U.S. repurchase markets for 10-year …

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