After the Y2K date change the Fed realized they were behind the curve on easing so they accelerated their tightening process, deja vu of right now.
We are in week 9 of sequential t-bond yield increase.
The fastest pace since February 2000.
Then, the bubble exploded. pic.twitter.com/XCualBdAuJ
— Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) February 16, 2022
Weekly money flow
Just an observation pic.twitter.com/tQzlf9GQgh
— Alessio (@AlessioTMAD) February 16, 2022
Has anyone else noticed that we’re entering a recession?
— David Sacks (@DavidSacks) February 3, 2022
Indeed, we have recently seen the largest month on month expansion in credit card balances and other revolving credit in U.S history. pic.twitter.com/E2BHvynb33
— Tarric Brooker aka Avid Commentator 🇦🇺 (@AvidCommentator) February 16, 2022
30 yr Indicator Shows Market Top Today & Likely Recession Coming – ratio of 2-10 yr spread to oil price. h/t @kdaniellepark & @LanceRoberts @HarrisSamaras @spotgamma @jam_croissant @AnnTrades #trading #TRADINGTIPS #TradingSignals #optiontrading #ES_F pic.twitter.com/YwbBy7pgAE
— Patrick Hill (@PatrickHill1677) February 15, 2022
US consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan goes back to 1952.
The only time it was this low (61.7) without the US being in a recession was a brief period during the 2011 bear market (Aug-Oct '11).
Charting via @ycharts pic.twitter.com/fytIdFyD7v
— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) February 11, 2022
A hiccup for the high-flying US #leveragedloan market, which saw its biggest loss on Monday – a 0.23% slide – since October 2020. Still, loans continue in the black YTD, unlike high grade, #highyield, equities https://t.co/Iw3s3lCkS2 pic.twitter.com/MNTaKA88xM
— Leveraged Loans (@lcdnews) February 16, 2022
'Liquidity is eroding in the U.S. Treasury market again, as the past week's controversy about how much and how quickly the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year unleashed a bout of extreme volatility in yields.' https://t.co/wccVE0I3dc
— Jesse Felder (@jessefelder) February 16, 2022
💯
December was revised from -1.9% to -2.5%
The trend in nominal growth is unchanged.
The real growth rate is the second-lowest since May 2020 https://t.co/VPJZhxLzT9 pic.twitter.com/P5gMI9ewNP
— Eric Basmajian (@EPBResearch) February 16, 2022
"This market is not rewarding patience, it’s punishing stubbornness."https://t.co/lZhTtydWm4…
It's why we have been quick to take partial profits in $AAPL $AMD and most recently $ABBV. because while they look good at our initial entry, they are rolling over soon after. pic.twitter.com/DrF4tgYAXd
— MrTopStep (@MrTopStep) February 16, 2022