The BOJ held rates at zero, ran QE, and pinned bond yields longer than any central bank alive. The yen collapsed. Everything Japan imports now costs a fortune in yen.

BOJ set to raise rates to 1.25%, a 31-year high

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/boj-set-lift-rates-next-week-offer-few-clues-terminal-sources-say-2026-09-11/

The BOJ is now expected to hike 25 basis points next week. Analysts are already looking toward 1.75% by mid-2027, meaning the yen problem is forcing Japan toward a much different rate environment.

Japan’s wholesale inflation stays at 7.6% as import prices jump 24.8%

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/japans-wholesale-inflation-stays-elevated-august-boosts-case-rate-hike-2026-09-11/

This is the fresh evidence behind the BOJ move. PPI stayed at 7.6%, while yen-based import prices jumped 24.8% year over year. The weak currency is still feeding directly into Japan’s import bill.

U.S. pressure on Japan is now creating a BOJ credibility problem

https://www.ft.com/content/f7ca7904-b0d8-428b-9bf7-8837407922

Former BOJ officials are warning that Bessent’s involvement could make the central bank look politically pressured by Washington. That’s a much bigger issue than simply whether Japan hikes 25bp.

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