Wonder why there’s going to be a blue wave?

New AP poll: Trump’s job approval rating falls to 31%, while 69% disapprove.

• His approval rating on the economy: 26%

• On the cost of living: 17%
• On Iran: 28%
• Trade negotiations: 38%
• AI: 31%
• Immigration: 39%
• Border security: 48%https://t.co/XtHuyb8BYK pic.twitter.com/ltyLXsnlCY

— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) October 1, 2026

AP/NORC poll | 9/24-9/28

President Trump approval on the cost of living

❌Disapprove 82%
✅Approve 17% https://t.co/JWXfXOJKII pic.twitter.com/db7cyxtGqO

— Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 (@PollTracker2024) October 1, 2026

Democratic wave is hitting Republican states hardest, scrambling Senate strategy

WASHINGTON, Oct 1 (Reuters) – Kentucky Democrats say they have a once-in-a-generation opportunity to flip a US Senate seat in a Republican stronghold. But a couple of things are missing: their governor and money.

Kentucky is one of several states that President Donald Trump won by double digits in 2024 where Republicans are significantly trailing the president’s performance, an indication that Democrats have expanded their pathway to a majority in November’s midterm elections. It’s not clear, however, that the party will invest its limited resources into flipping seats once considered to be out of reach.

The Democratic wave is crashing hardest in states Trump won by wide margins, though Republicans are also significantly underperforming in Georgia and North Carolina, where Trump won by 2 and 3 percentage points, respectively. The volume of unexpectedly competitive states could scramble the final stretch of the campaign cycle as top officials assess where to spend their war chests.

“Not only is there a swing away from the Republican Party compared to 2024, but the swing actually seems to be somewhat bigger in red America than in blue America, and that’s putting these states that Trump won easily very much into play,” said David Hopkins, a political science professor at Boston College.