Atlanta FED predicts Q2 GDP of -34.7%. New York FED predicts -14.3% Never have they been this different just 2 weeks before official numbers come out.

by martinvandepas

Both models were updated yesterday:

Atlanta

New York

I don’t really know what to make of this. The two models are largely based on the exact same source data but use different mathematical models for their prediction. See the last FAQ on the Atlanta page. Does the current market have numbers like these priced in or will this come as a surprise at the end of July when the official numbers come out.

 

Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.

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