Bond Yields are Inverted

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fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y3M

*10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity (T10Y3M)

Every time the difference between the 3 month and 10 year treasuries goes negative a recession ensues. A strong sign that the US economy could be going into recession.

Fed Rates probably going negative eventually. Only way to continue to prop things up. Watch out for the coming Deutsche Bank debacle.

 

 

AC

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