- The CDC held a meeting in February with epidemic experts where four scenarios were presented of way coronavirus could spread in the US
- In the worst-case scenario, between 160 million and 214 million people would be sickened during the epidemic
- As many as 21 million people were hospitalized and up to 1.7 million people died in this hypothetical scenario
- It did not include containment strategies that have since been implemented including canceling sporting evens and drive-thru testing
- So far, more than 1,900 cases are confirmed in the US and 42 people have died
- Coronavirus symptoms: what are they and should you see a doctor?
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has projected in a worst-case scenario that up to 65 percent of Americans could be infected with coronavirus.
According to The New York Times, a closed-door meeting was held last month among CDC officials and dozens of epidemic experts from around the world.
One of the CDC’s leading epidemiologists presented four scenarios – named A, B, C and D – to show possible ways the virus could spread throughout the US population.
The federal health agency projects that in the worst-case scenario, between 160 million and 214 million people would be sickened.
In a projection, even if interventions started today – such as drive-thru testing and barring visitors from nursing homes – as many as three million Americans might fall ill.
The CDC held a meeting last month in which different scenarios were presented of ways coronavirus could spread throughout the US. This graph shows an estimate of the peak number of cases that would occur if interventions such as banning gatherings and shutting schools took place today, in July 2020 and in October 2020