We start 2021 with a “new” President (that is, Obama’s aged VP Joe Biden) with former Fed Chair Janet “The Mad Printer” Yellen as Treasury Secretary and Jerome “The Skipper” Powell remaining as Fed Chair.
Can The Fed print our way to prosperity? Not with money velocity (GDP/Money Supply) at historic lows and M1 money stock growing at 67% YoY.
Biden claims he will not raise taxes on any household making over $400,000. What is Pelosi & House Democrats decide to raise taxes on households making over $200,000? Biden’s plan includes:
- Imposes a 12.4 percent Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance (Social Security) payroll tax on income earned above $400,000, evenly split between employers and employees. This would create a “donut hole” in the current Social Security payroll tax, where wages between $137,700, the current wage cap, and $400,000 are not taxed.
- Reverts the top individual income tax rate for taxable incomes above $400,000 from 37 percent under current law to the pre-Tax Cuts and Jobs Act level of 39.6 percent.
- Taxes long-term capital gains and qualified dividends at the ordinary income tax rate of 39.6 percent on income above $1 million and eliminates step-up in basis for capital gains taxation.
- Caps the tax benefit of itemized deductions to 28 percent of value for those earning more than $400,000, which means that taxpayers earning above that income threshold with tax rates higher than 28 percent would face limited itemized deductions.
- Restores the Pease limitation on itemized deductions for taxable incomes above $400,000.
- Phases out the qualified business income deduction (Section 199A) for filers with taxable income above $400,000.
- Expands the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) for childless workers aged 65+; provides renewable-energy-related tax credits to individuals.
- Expands the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC) from a maximum of $3,000 in qualified expenses to $8,000 ($16,000 for multiple dependents) and increases the maximum reimbursement rate from 35 percent to 50 percent.
- For 2021 and as long as economic conditions require, increases the Child Tax Credit (CTC) from a maximum value of $2,000 to $3,000 for children 17 or younger, while providing a $600 bonus credit for children under 6. The CTC would also be made fully refundable, removing the $2,500 reimbursement threshold and 15 percent phase-in rate.
- Reestablishes the First-Time Homebuyers’ Tax Credit, which was originally created during the Great Recession to help the housing market. Biden’s homebuyers’ credit would provide up to $15,000 for first-time homebuyers.
- Expands the estate and gift tax by restoring the rate and exemption to 2009 levels.
Biden’s plan increases the corporate income tax rate from 21 percent to 28 percent.
None of the aforementioned tax plans will be enough to cover Biden’s / Pelosi’s / Schumer’s ambitious spending plans of $11 TRILLION.