Jim Rickards: Markets and Black Swans

by Jim Rickards via Daily Reckoning I began studying complexity theory as a consequence of my involvement with Long-Term Capital Management, LTCM, the hedge fund that collapsed in 1998 after derivatives trading strategies went catastrophically wrong. After the collapse and subsequent rescue, I chatted with one of the LTCM partners who ran the firm about what went wrong. … Read more

Continuing to depend on China is a very serious national security threat that is no longer deniable and the US must act immediately.

ANALYSIS: TRUE. Chinese Control of Supply Chain Is National Security Threat. Rep. Liz Cheney (R., Wyo.) said Chinese control of the pharmaceutical supply chain was a national security threat and that the United States must use its military to confront China around the world. “Look at what they’ve been able to do with respect to supply … Read more

When Even Ezra Klein Is Worried About Overintrusive Government, Your Reopening Plan Needs Work:

I’ve read the plans to reopen the economy. They’re scary. Right and left, all the plans he’s reviewing basically come from think tanks. I expect that Trump’s plan will be better. But note that it’s all basically up to governors: The White House cannot unilaterally reopen the country. Though the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention … Read more

Either social distancing has worked, or it’s burning out on its own. Sadly, I’m pretty sure it’s the former.

THE REPORTING IS ALWAYS QUESTIONABLE, BUT IT’S LOOKING AS IF WASHINGTON STATE IS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE CURVE. Here’s the “confirmed cases” graph: And here’s the chart for deaths, which are usually a lagging indicator. Either social distancing has worked, or it’s burning out on its own. Sadly, I’m pretty sure it’s the former. Why are … Read more

Major Truth Bombs in this CNBC interview. The media conflates stock market performance with economic and (inter)national strength so that those self-styled ‘elites’ can continue to live like bloated parasites.

The U.S. shouldn’t bail out billionaires and hedge funds during the coronavirus pandemic, Social Capital CEO Chamath Palihapitiya says. “Who cares? Let them get wiped out.” https://t.co/dIbizumtqG pic.twitter.com/fsoP3ITQDa — CNBC (@CNBC) April 10, 2020 Accurately calling out “zombie companies” for the con job they’re pulling on the vast majority of the human race. Those who … Read more

Pelosi says there is “no evidence” that americans need financial assistance right now.

Nancy Pelosi really just said there’s “no data” suggesting Americans need financial assistance right now pic.twitter.com/RFmcjGsjKu — Caleb Hull (@CalebJHull) April 9, 2020 OK, so businesses laying people off and the weaker ones that are now permanently closing “don’t need assistance”. F*ck RIGHT off Record Bankruptcies Predicted as Unemployment Soars… Why relief to small businesses … Read more

Declassified transcript of Papadopolus proves there was no Russian collusion

by sundance It has been so long since the original 2018 congressional request that many people have forgotten what was included in the “Bucket Five” declassification request. Bucket Five – Intelligence documents that were presented to the Gang of Eight in 2016 that pertain to the FISA application used against U.S. person Carter Page; including all exculpatory … Read more

CNN forgot the fake news lens filter and actually told the truth!

Watch the latest video at foxnews.com CNN was lampooned by critics on Thursday after a headline of its report on Senate Democrats blocking financial relief for small businesses was quickly changed. A $250 billion urgent request to shore up a depleting small business fund failed to pass the Senate Thursday after Democrats objected to the measure pushed … Read more

Why the stock market is going up… and it’s not because the Coronavirus is going away

by FiscalFrontier I think I know why the stock market is up… and it’s not because the Coronavirus is going away. It requires some macroeconomic and finance knowledge, but maybe, just maybe: Fed actions (buying assets) are lowering risk premiums Fed actions (lowering rates) are lowering asset yields overall Both of these actions lower stock … Read more

USAA to Refund Partial Premium to Members

by cjw_5110 Relevant for USAA auto insurance members: https://communities.usaa.com/t5/Press-Releases/USAA-to-Return-520-Million-to-Members/ba-p/228150 Relevant passage: USAA, the country’s fifth largest property-casualty insurer, will be returning $520 million to its members. This payment is a result of data showing members are driving less due to stay-at-home and shelter-in-place guidance across the country. Every member with an auto insurance policy in … Read more

National Press Secretary for Bernie Sanders 2020 Briahna Joy Gray: At Least Now I Can Stop Lying About that “Democratic” Socialist BS

Briahna Joy Gray Verified account @briebriejoy On the plus side, I can drop the “Democratic” from my tweets about why Socialism is good. View post on imgur.com On the plus side, I can drop the “Democratic” from my tweets about why Socialism is good. 😉 — Briahna Joy Gray (@briebriejoy) April 8, 2020 There you … Read more