Charles Schwab free trades, BUT “BE PREPARED FOR RECESSION?!!!”

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via schwab: Key Points Although U.S. stocks are up so far this year, the global economy remains vulnerable and recession fears have increased. The outcome of U.S.-China trade negotiations likely will have a strong impact on economic and market direction. Discipline around diversification and rebalancing remains important for investors. As we head into the final months … Read more

Harvard University’s endowment fund ($40+ billion and largest academic endowment in the world) for the 4th year in a row — and the ninth of the last 10 — has lagged the S&P 500

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Think you have a hard time beating the U.S. stock market? Consider Harvard University’s endowment fund, which at more than $40 billion is the largest academic endowment in the world. It is run by some of the smartest investment managers around. Yet for the fourth fiscal year in a row — and the ninth of … Read more

Short Everythin – 4 Technical Setups for Q4

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by Gr0o0vy Greetings and welcome to the first edition of Short Everythin. From time to time I will try to share my short setups on what I believe are overvalued companies. Who knows, I might find a decent long from time to time. Over this last weekend I went over few hundred charts and the winners … Read more

Tax loss selling

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by WSBConsensus   The MS Equity Strategy team has refreshed their annual tax loss selling screen, which underperformed the market by ~5% in 4Q18. Look for stocks that may have been well-liked to start the year and that have seen substantial price declines.. • The Kraft Heinz Co. (KHC) • Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. … Read more

More than Half of All Stock Buybacks are Now Financed by Debt. Here’s Why That’s a Problem

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https://fortune.com/2019/08/20/stock-buybacks-debt-financed/ The era of cheap borrowing is fostering corporate America’s favorite investor-pleasing activity: Share buybacks. Indeed, more than half of all buybacks are now funded by debt. And while there’s an argument that repurchases benefit share prices and investors, at least in the short run, it’s questionable whether highly indebted companies should be doing this. … Read more

Germany economy is crashing

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Merkel is doing her best to destroy germany. Finally it is starting…. Industrial demand is sinking every month with -7% https://finanzmarktwelt.de/aktuell-auftragseingaenge-industrie-mit-katastrophalem-rueckgang-143013/ #Germany's manufacturing recession deepens. Germany Aug factory orders fall 6.7%% Y/Y; Est. -6.4% Y/Y pic.twitter.com/XLaiFWJohR — Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) October 7, 2019   Half of Deutsche Bank’s 18,000 Job Cuts Will Be in Germany … Read more

If this trend continues, GASOLINE WILL BE FREE by Christmas – Prices below $1.73/gal

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Any liberals complaining? https://www.gasbuddy.com/GasPriceMap?z=4&lng=-96.591588 Is this had not happened, gas would be below $1.50 in many places. Most States Have Raised Gas Taxes in Recent Years https://itep.org/most-states-have-raised-gas-taxes-in-recent-years-0419/ Gas Taxes Rise in a Dozen States, Including Historic Increase in Illinois https://itep.org/gas-taxes-rise-in-a-dozen-states-including-an-historic-increase-in-illinois/ June 29th Gas taxes to rise in these states in July https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/states-gas-taxes-to-rise-july States are doing … Read more

Current recession probability is highest since GFC. In last 50y, probability has never got to this level without economy going into recession.

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https://twitter.com/anilvohra69/status/1180903251123720192 3 Major Warning Signs May Mean Danger Ahead for the Stock Market FAANG has died Despite ongoing low interest rates from the Fed, investors are no longer leveraging up on that cheap money to buy the once popular — always insanely valued — FAANG stocks. Facebook (FB), Amazon (AMZN) and Netflix (NFLX) have shed … Read more

Central bank stimulus is distorting financial markets. This is not a slowdown, it is the hangover of the “synchronized growth” mirage.

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Half of banks would not survive a six month crisis, ECB warns https://t.co/1sNE0IDVSGA case of “wanting”to have your cake and eating it.. and living in hope from the ECB — Local Banking 🇮🇪 The Real Economy (@NoelKinahan) October 8, 2019 This is not a slowdown, it is the hangover of the "synchronized growth" mirage. The … Read more

US Spy’s wife Kills Brit Teen – Flees Investigation,Claims Diplomatiic Immunity

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This is lightening-up social media now! Revealed: US diplomat’s wife, 42, who ‘ran over and killed’ British teen outside RAF base before fleeing and claiming diplomatic immunity is named Quote:.Anne Sacoolas left the UK despite facing possible charges of causing death by dangerous driving . Harry Dunn, 19, was killed in August near RAF Croughton … Read more

Will Concern Consume the Consumer?

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Originally published at ExecSpec.net Should U.S. consumers feel consumed by the growing avalanche of negative news? There is an unending tariff war between the world’s two biggest economies, risk of a hard Brexit impairing the U.K., a U.S. manufacturing recession and high odds of a presidential impeachment. Reflecting this anxiety and uncertainty manifests in optimism among … Read more

Headlines Dominate Cautious Markets

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by FS Whether it’s the latest news on US-China trade, the impeachment inquiry, or an ongoing global slowdown, stock market sensitivity to headline risk has been on the rise in recent months. Here’s what we discussed in our recent Technician and Big Picture segments on the Financial Sense Newshour. For audio, see Buying Opportunities Ahead, Says … Read more