4 weeks out from FOMC the chance Fed cuts 25bps: 70%. Chance they cut 50bps: 30%. Chance they don’t cut: 0%
www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html/ If you are sure the Fed won’t cut then either: 1)They ignore these numbers, which they never do. 2)Chance of no cut explodes from the current 0% to over … Read more