US inflation is at 5.4%/yr for July. Consumers are paying the price. With the explosive growth in the US money supply, I predict that inflation will reach 6%-9% by the end of the year. Inflation will be Biden’s Achilles’s heal. …
by WARREN MOSLER As per the chart still not looking so good: Highlights Good news on US manufacturing is now much less scarce following a much better-than-expected 2.7 percent jump in durable goods orders for March. The gain is skewed …
by WARREN MOSLER Looks like there was a drop in employment growth by firms with under 50 employees: ‘Last hire first fired’ has made this a leading indicator in prior cycles: Heavy-Duty Truck Orders Hit the Brakes in March Trucking …
by WARREN MOSLER Gone negative year over year adjusted for inflation: This series looks to me like it’s flattened and adjusted for inflation remains well below 2008 highs, and hasn’t fully recovered from the collapse of oil capex at …
by WARREN MOSLER Asia’s exports to China plunge as economy stumbles (WSJ) Japan’s exports to China in January sank 17.4% on the year to 958.1 billion yen ($8.65 billion), accelerating from December’s 7% drop. South Korean exports to China in …
by WARREN MOSLER Rail Week Ending 15 December 2018: Economically Intuitive Sectors Continue In Contraction Written by Steven Hansen Week 50 of 2018 shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) improved according to the Association …
by WARREN MOSLER Last month revised lower and looking weak: Highlights A drop for primary metals, a sharp drop for machinery, and a reversal for defense aircraft all pulled down durable goods orders in October which fell a sharper-than-expected 4.4 …
by WARREN MOSLER Need more tariffs… Highlights Amid the unfolding of tariff effects, exports are moving in the wrong direction and look to be a big negative for third-quarter GDP. The nation’s trade deficit in goods was a whopping $75.8 …
by WARREN MOSLER Larger than expected: Highlights In some of the early data coming out in this period of trade disputes, the goods deficit of the July trade report totaled a much deeper-than-expected $72.2 billion. Exports of goods fell 1.7 …
by WARREN MOSLER Highlights Disruption tied to a fire at an auto supplier not only pulled down the previously released manufacturing component of the industrial production report but it also helped pull down durable goods orders in May which fell an as-expected 0.6 …
by WARREN MOSLER More weakness: Highlights Yesterday’s new home sales report showed less strength than expected while today’s existing home sales results are outright disappointing. Sales fell 2.5 percent in April to an annualized rate of 5.460 million which falls below …
by WARREN MOSLER More signs of a slowdown as exports fall, which means less gdp, and consumer imports down, meaning personal spending was lower than expected, as discussed might be the case previously due to lower personal income growth: Highlights Exports …