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While bear market rally continues, spreads are flattening again… pic.twitter.com/nl4YbqhqnL — Alastair Williamson (@StockBoardAsset) January 7, 2019 bear market rally #ES_F pic.twitter.com/uYPMpl68AU — Alastair Williamson (@StockBoardAsset) January 6, 2019 3rd … Read more
www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-03/the-flattening-yield-curve-just-produced-its-first-inversion Some analysts attributed the short-end underperformance to demand for riskier assets as global trade tensions eased following this weekend’s tariff truce between U.S. President Donald Trump and China’s Xi … Read more
Another sign that we are close to the end of the party… market breadth continues to deteriorate… pic.twitter.com/prbOZo5LX3 — Ronnie Stoeferle (@RonStoeferle) September 26, 2018 Fantastic chart: Does the flattening … Read more
MBA data weak pic.twitter.com/5K9li80HU7 — Alastair Williamson (@StockBoardAsset) September 12, 2018 trade war should continue flattening 2s10s — next ff hike inversion? pic.twitter.com/gppzE4mrmF — Alastair Williamson (@StockBoardAsset) September 12, 2018 … Read more
The recent $USD curve flattening indicates that markets are in a late-cyclical mindset. But what happens during the 6 months that precede a curve inversion in the US? See picture$NZD … Read more
U.S. high-yield bond sales are on track to be the lowest for a year since 2009. Another recent shift in performance away from #SmallCaps could start to reverse #FundFlows @WSJ … Read more
via Aaron Elstein A lot of Wall Street number-crunchers are going to be chained to their desks tomorrow when JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo all report second-quarter earnings more or … Read more
via Forex Live There are two things that have been giving added support for a flatter yield curve so far this year, one is the Fed continuing to tighten and … Read more
by gerold “Events are converging ominously this summer in the direction of unwinding expectations and serial train wrecks of finance and politics,” writes James Howard Kunstler. [Link] In normal times, long-term interest … Read more
Copper Gets It! Collapses with flattening 2s10s Growth slowing, shifting economy opps we have seen this before…
via the Felder Report It seems everyone is talking about the yield curve right now. It also seems most economists and investors are quick to dismiss what would typically signal … Read more
via Credit Writedowns The possibility of the Fed causing the curve to invert is real. We will have 12-18 months at most to see what happens economically. This is today’s … Read more
Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter And how would the housing market digest these kinds of mortgage rates? In this cycle, the Fed has hiked its target range for the federal funds … Read more
by Chris The signs coming out fo the US Treasury market have been less than encouraging for the stock bull case. In fact, the combination of rising interest rates and … Read more
twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/933449988276916224 TROUBLE? What is the predictive power of the yield curve? Shape of the yield curve, advanced by 15 mths, has a decent fit w/US GDP growth. But yield curve … Read more