by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics The current stock market is the most dangerous stock market I have seen in my 34+ year career as a financial markets professional. This includes 1987, 1999-2000 and 2007-2008. The run-up in stocks has been largely …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics Gold and silver are historically undervalued relative to the stock and bond markets. The junior mining stocks overall are at their most undervalued relative to the price of gold since 2001. Gold’s relative performance during the …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics “They may try to run this poor thing straight up and over a cliff. Recall the 2000 top was in March but they briefly ran it back in Sep 00. Ditto in Oct 07. When warning signs …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics “They may try to run this poor thing straight up and over a cliff. Recall the 2000 top was in March but they briefly ran it back in Sep 00. Ditto in Oct 07. When warning …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics The stock market has been rising relentlessly since Christmas, riding on a crest of increasingly bearish economic reports. Maybe the hedge fund algos are anticipating that the Fed will soon start cutting rates. Data indicates foreigners …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics The news headlines explained the sudden jump in the S&P futures this morning by stating that “recession fears had faded.” Just like that. Overnight. I guess the fact that the housing starts report showed a 9% …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics Someone last week suggested that Trump sees the stock market as the barometer measuring the success of his Presidency. I think his behavior, tweets, press comments, etc with respect to the stock market validates that assertion. …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics “The monetary authorities running the paper-money schemes of the present are anxious to forestall significant rises in the paper price of gold, because such rises would diminish confidence in the lasting value of the paper money …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics I don’t know if it was the intent of the Fed, but Jerome Powell has managed to trigger a rush into stocks more frenzied than the one that engulfed the last days of the dot.com/techbubble. The …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics Tesla continues to head south since hitting its post-earnings high of $321. It’s down nearly $100 from the $380 post “funding secured” tweet all-time high close on August 7th. The stock has diverged negatively from the …
From trade talks to the Federal Reserve, Wall Street is keeping a close eye on the economy. One America’s Greta Wall spoke with hedge fund manager Gabe Hoffman about all of the factors currently impacting the market.
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics On January 31st, Amazon reported an expected “beat” for Q4 revenue and net income. After the headline report hit the tape, the stock soared $59 to $1777 from the closing price ($1718) minutes earlier. But then …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics The retail sales report for December – delayed because of the Government shut-down – was released this morning. It showed the largest monthly drop since September 2009. Online sales plunged 3.9%, the steepest drop since November …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics I get a kick out of these billionaires and centimillionaires, like Kyle Bass yesterday, who appear on financial television to look the viewer in the eye and tell them that economy is booming. Kyle Bass doesn’t expect a …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics “The demand for – the demand for Model 3 is insanely high. The inhibitor is affordability. It’s just like people literally don’t have the money to buy the car. It’s got nothing to do with desire. …
via Marketwatch: Investors, knocked around by the latest stretch of volatility VIX, +0.06% , are wiggling out of their risky margin positions in a big way. Margin debt, the most current figures show, fell $90 billion in the fourth quarter, marking the fastest pace …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics “Our advice is to own as little exposure U.S. equity exposure as your career risk allows.” – Martin Tarlie, member of portfolio allocation at Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo investment management The following is an excerpt from the …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics Last month the Government’s Bureau of Lies And Statistics served up an employment report purporting 312,000 new jobs in December. This despite massive seasonal retail lay-offs in the latter half of the month. The BLS happily …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics The mis-pricing of money and credit has also driven a terrible misallocation of capital and kept unproductive zombie debtors alive for too long. Saxo Bank, “Beware The Global Policy Panic” “Mis-pricing of money and credit” refers to …
KEY POINTS -All-star hedge fund manager David Einhorn explains in a letter why his hedge funds lost more than a third of their value last year. -Greenlight Capital, lost 11.4 percent in the fourth quarter, bringing its decline to 34.2 …
Dave Kranzler of Investment Reserach Dynamics interviewed by Elijah Johnson of Silver Doctors The stock market is bouncing, but not based on fundamental strength of the economy. The current volatility in the stock market is a sign of instability. Markets have further to fall, he says, so …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics The post-Christmas stock rally extended through Wednesday as the small-cap and tech stocks led the way, with the Russell 2000 up 14.3% and the Nasdaq up 12.5%. The SPX and Dow are up 10.4% and 10.1% …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics The stock market has gone “Roman Candle” since Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell, gave a speech that was interpreted as a precursor to the Fed softening its stance on monetary policy. Not that intermittent quarter-point Fed Funds …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics “Commentators keep asking why the Fed can’t raise rates if the economy is so strong? They still don’t realize that the economy was never strong. They confuse a bubble for strength. Without 0% rates and QE …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics Bloomberg posted an article this morning describing the Collateralized Loan Obligation market as “Wall Street’s Billionaire Machine.” But I seem to recall that the CLO market was one of the financial nuclear bombs that blew up and triggered …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics A friend asked me today what I thought Powell should do. I said, “the system is screwed. It ultimately doesn’t matter what anyone does. The money printing, credit creation and artificially low interest rates over the …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics A couple of my subscribers emailed me expressing frustration over the fact that their recent homebuilder puts are either not moving higher or losing value despite the sell-off in the overall stock market. There’s two factors. …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics I chuckle when the hedge fund algos grab onto “positive” trade war headlines and trigger a sharp spike in stock futures. Settlement of the trade war between the Trump Government and China will do nothing to …
via CNBC: Machines responsible for 80% of trades in the US, fund manager says from CNBC. Many believe that the different sell-off episodes seen throughout 2018 were caused by these machines, as they act on immediate data releases, …
by GoldCore Asset management firm Fasanara Capital compared stock valuations to bitcoin in that “it is totally disconnected from fundamentals,” its chief executive told CNBC Impending tipping point for markets is due to a synchronicity of enterprise overvaluation, high indebtedness, low cash balances …