market Archives - Page 5 of 78 - Investment Watch Blog

The Nasdaq VIX shows there is not even the slightest sign of fear in this market. The volatility algos are working overtime to monetize put options and otherwise prevent a RISK OFF event

January 31, 2023 10:22 pmJanuary 31, 2023 11:56 am

by BoatSurfer600 Source: https://zensecondlife.blogspot.com/2023/01/prepare-for-brown-swan-event.html?m=1 Here we see option skew was very high at the stock market’s all time high, but subsequently it has collapsed as hedge funds monetized their hedges. Which means when they see fat premiums they sell into it. …

The Difficulties of Trying to Time the Market

January 30, 2023 10:37 pmJanuary 30, 2023 2:36 pm

When cryptocurrency prices began to skyrocket in November of 2021, you probably had a gnawing thought that you should have bought at least some bitcoin. Flash forward to May of 2022, those thoughts surely would have dissipated as the cryptocurrency …

The market is overbought heading into ANOTHER Fed rate hike, while the Fed takes liquidity down to ZERO. Today’s investors are not thinking about what could go wrong, only about what could go right…

January 27, 2023 6:46 pmJanuary 26, 2023 10:51 am

by BoatSurfer600 "Earnings don't move the overall market; it's the Federal Reserve Board. Focus on the central banks, and focus on the movement of liquidity. Most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It's liquidity that …

Jeremy Grantham Doubles Down On Market Apocalypse, Warns Of 17% Crash, Doesn’t Rule Out “Brutal Decline” To 2,000

January 25, 2023 3:07 pm

It was several years ago when Jeremy Grantham quietly turned from stock bull to vocal permabear, and while his market notes turned breathlessly alarmist (if only to those who were long his multi-billion fund GMO), such as this from June …

A look at house payments vs income ratio. Housing market has never been this unaffordable (in history)

January 24, 2023 9:18 pm

h/t TopFinanceTakes

Stock Market Rigged – Newyork Exchange Gets Wave Of Sell Orders, Briefly Unleashing Stock-Market Chaos

January 25, 2023 3:12 pmJanuary 24, 2023 8:28 pm

Seems like no one is talking about this ? wtf They basically shut down the market when people started putting orders for sell. https://www.chicagobusiness.com/finance-banking/glitch-causes-nyse-stock-chaos At least 40 S&P 500 Index stocks were hit with trading halts, according to data compiled …

Bank of America: The Stock Market Is About to Be Flipped Upside Down as Inflation Rebounds

January 23, 2023 8:43 pm

The stock market is about to be flipped upside down as inflation rebounds ahead of an upcoming recession, according to Bank of America. BofA said the reopening of China’s economy and ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine will lead to …

Housing Market is Crashing Faster Than 2008

January 20, 2023 3:56 pm

Bank of America market bottom checklist suggests the trough is yet to come

January 18, 2023 8:16 pm

h/t Player896

The housing market is crashing and mainstream media is not reporting on it…

January 20, 2023 12:11 pmJanuary 18, 2023 3:21 pm

https://twitter.com/TopFinanceTakes/status/1615708476315152384 A historic number of newly built homes will flood the market into the worst demographics in US history. What could go wrong? pic.twitter.com/pCdrP4rRSD — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) January 17, 2023 BREAKING: Commercial real estate vacancies in San Francisco are …

Buckle Up, the Bond Market is About to Break a Major Central Bank

January 20, 2023 12:11 pmJanuary 18, 2023 3:07 pm

By Graham Summers, MBA The situation in Japan is worsening. As I’ve outlined before, Japan is the grandfather of monetary policy insanity. The Fed first introduced Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) and Quantitative Easing (QE) in 2008. The central bank …

Why Japan’s Bond Market Could Make or Break Your 2023 Returns

January 17, 2023 10:46 pm

By Graham Summers, MBA Japan’s central bank, the Bank of Japan, or BoJ, is beginning to lose control of its financial system. The BoJ is the grandfather of monetary insanity. The U.S.’s Federal Reserve (the Fed) first introduced Zero Interest …

Why a Generation of BRITS Will be Locked Out Of The Housing Market

January 15, 2023 8:46 am

by Shanobido47 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11631687/The-alarming-figures-generation-Brits-locked-housing-market.html

Bond markets are predicting a coming FED hike pause or cut… Historic market performance post FED hikes

January 13, 2023 10:53 pm

by Infamous_Sympathy_91 Federal Reserve Alert! Federal Reserve releases results of survey of senior financial officers at banks about their strategies and practices for managing reserve balances. ~25% of respondents reported that their bank expects reserves to decrease as a …

This market can’t make up its mind…

January 13, 2023 10:59 pmJanuary 12, 2023 1:23 pm

Current situation: 1. $VIX trading lower despite 50+ point $SPX reversal 2. Stocks down like a recession is coming 3. Oil prices up like the recession was canceled 4. Gold up like inflation hasn’t peaked 5. Bonds up like inflation …

Is the Worst Over For This Bear Market?

January 10, 2023 3:01 pm

By Graham Summers, MBA In 2022, the Everything Bubble burst courtesy of the inflation created by over $8 trillion in Fed and Federal government money printing. As I outlined in my best-selling book, The Everything Bubble: the Endgame for Central Bank …

Zoltan! Fed Will Restart QE to Stabilize Treasury Market During Summer 2023, Credit Suisse Group’s Pozsar Says

January 9, 2023 4:03 pm

by confoundedinterest17 Zoltan! The Federal Reserve will be the backstop of the Treasury market this year to alleviate dysfunction resulting from its increasing size and the retreat of regular buyers. That’s the view of Credit Suisse Group AG analyst Zoltan Pozsar, who …

$38 trillion in debt at 5% = $1.9 trillion in interest expense per year. That is ~50% of tax revenue… The Fed is not in control. The Bond Market is in control.

January 8, 2023 8:17 am

https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1611853802524622849 The highest yield on the US Treasury curve is the six month T-Bill, at 4.8%. There is no way the Fed is going to 5%. The Fed is not in control. The Bond Market is in control. — Jeffrey …

Chart: Tesla Still Dominates the U.S. EV Market

January 5, 2023 8:19 pm

https://www.statista.com/chart/29037/best-selling-electric-cars-in-the-united-states/ h/t HumanJenoM

Mass layoffs and bankruptcies happening… The market wants to trap you before the next big move… The public is in the dark, This could be the worst financial event anyone has ever seen

January 8, 2023 4:42 amJanuary 5, 2023 7:34 pm

Markets have been in the same range for over two weeks now. Every time we get to the top of the range, more bulls are trapped. Every time we get to the bottom of the range, more bears are trapped. …

Why Investors Should Be Praying For a Stock Market Crash

January 5, 2023 10:58 am

By Graham Summers, MBA Investors should be praying for a stock market crash. From a systemic perspective, the markets have entered a period of “risk off”. This has been the case since March of 2022. And the single best thing for …

Mr. Market May Be In Denial Over The Shift In Interest Rates

January 4, 2023 10:24 pm

by jessefelder They say there are five stages of grief; the same might be said about bear markets as investors typically go through a similar process beginning with denial. In this regard, the biggest development seen in the markets during 2022 …

Biden’s economy has produced the worst home market since World War II as values continue to decline

January 4, 2023 10:00 pm

by: JD Heyes (Natural News) Why Republicans did not do better during the November midterms is a subject of debate, but they should have considering the lousy state of the country under two years of Joe Biden and Democratic control of …

Are Collaterized Loan Obligations (CLO), a market of $1.2 trillion, the new CDO’s from 2008?

January 4, 2023 12:17 pm

AAPL’s drop today means there are no longer any companies in the world with a $2t market cap

January 3, 2023 7:11 pm

Soon there will be no with a 1T as well. h/t BoatSurfer600

The next wave lower in the stock market comes from…

January 4, 2023 10:06 pmJanuary 3, 2023 12:32 pm

https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1610290890076979200 In November, existing home sales fell for a 10th straight month, the longest streak in National Association of Realtors data that goes back to 1999. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) January 3, 2023 US Housing Leading Growth Index Slumps To Lowest …

To end 2022, which stage of the market are we currently in?

December 31, 2022 7:28 pmDecember 30, 2022 8:40 am

$3.6BN outflow from equity funds (ex ETF) in the last week… 47 consecutive weeks of outflows: Lipper — zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 29, 2022 Right now there are ten bulls for every bear in broader society. Including passive investors. This doesn't …

Legendary Investor Predicts Market Chaos

December 28, 2022 2:37 pm

via CNBC: Famed investor Bill Gross said he expects big trouble ahead should the Federal Reserve keep hiking interest rates. “The economy has been bolstered by tremendous amounts of trillions of dollars in fiscal spending, but ultimately when that is …

TSLA is the biggest pump and dump of all time? It is now the second most shorted stock in the entire market

December 30, 2022 9:45 pmDecember 28, 2022 11:38 am

What if $TSLA was the biggest pump and dump of all time? — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) December 28, 2022 $TSLA RSI at 17 …. i cant imagine the powerful of a potential bounce here…. extreme pessimism at this point…. …

The US stock market has lost $11.7 trillion in market cap from its January high… Subprime ABS widening… Recession is coming…

December 30, 2022 9:45 pmDecember 28, 2022 11:33 am

Economic contraction occurs as the yield curve uninverts. The inversion is the predictor. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=o3pn https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=dOUu Subprime ABS widening pic.twitter.com/lQqddxDXrM — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) December 18, 2022 The US stock market has lost $11.7 trillion in market cap from its …