The U.S. yield curve inversion is around the corner. Expect a recession 6-12 months from now. pic.twitter.com/7nUwHBSB1P
— Yuriy Matso (@yuriymatso) March 6, 2022
We’ve passed from inflation driven by stimulus, low interest rates and supply chain disruption
To
Ukraine/Russia war
People think: central banks will cut interest rates and will inject more liquidity.. prepare for 300$/bbl then lol
— 🅰🅻🅴🆂🆂🅸🅾 (@AlessioUrban) March 6, 2022
"While market pullbacks over the last two decades have been akin to light breeze, a coming supercycle of discomfort could be a Category 5 hurricane. And nobody has even considered 'evacuating' yet." t.co/vsVl4UNbDz
— Quoth the Raven 🇺🇦 (@QTRResearch) March 6, 2022
84% Expect Gas Prices to Keep Climbing t.co/QQfSKWI5Ff pic.twitter.com/MKYuZ9W42g
— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) March 6, 2022
Base case for Q2: SPX < 4000.
Earnings revised down to 6-7% (now 9%) in 2022 on cyclical slowdown enhanced by inflationary pressures and weak credit impulse.
12m fwd P/E around 17 (now 19): wider risk premia required as the Fed turns more hawkish at the worst possible times.
— Alf (@MacroAlf) March 6, 2022
"what risk level are you running in your portfolio?" pic.twitter.com/HKlovBbRVR
— Callum Thomas (@Callum_Thomas) March 6, 2022
$VIX finished the week above 31. pic.twitter.com/pJrW1xRZjt
— Zaphod Beeblebrox (@AndysCycles) March 7, 2022
h/t mark000