- Forecast from University Of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School model predicts COVID-19 cases will reach 5.4 million and death toll could be 290,000 by July 24
- Ominous forecast accounts for all states fully reopening without any social distancing measures
- In comparison, model predicts nearly 4.3 million cases and 230,000 deaths by July 24 if states reopen but individuals maintain their social distancing efforts
- Meanwhile, a separate model from the UMass Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence is projecting that deaths will surpass 113,000 by mid-June
- Currently, there are more than 1.5 million cases and over 92,000 deaths across the United States
Coronavirus infections could reach as high as 5.4 million in the US in the next two months and more than 290,000 Americans could die if social distancing isn’t adhered to, according to a COVID-19 forecast model.
The ominous forecast from the University Of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School model accounts for all states fully reopening without any social distancing measures.
In comparison, the model predicts nearly 4.3 million cases and 230,000 deaths by July 24 if states reopen but individuals maintain their social distancing efforts.
If states only partially reopen by lifting stay-at-home orders but social distancing measures are still adhered to, the model forecasts 3.1 million infections and 172,000 deaths.
The best case scenario, which would involve each state maintaining lockdown restrictions as of May 17 with social distancing measures still in place, there could still be 2.8 million infections and 157,000 deaths.
The majority of US states had already lifted COVID-19 lockdown restrictions by mid-May.
Meanwhile, a separate model from the UMass Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence is projecting that deaths will surpass 113,000 by mid-June.
MANHASSET, N.Y. (CBSNewYork) — CBS2 has learned some of the same international flights that have long been blamed for causing coronavirus to explode in our area are still operating.
So what are public officials doing to prevent another outbreak? CBS2’s Lisa Rozner demanded answers on Tuesday.
Pictures from U.S. Customs and Border Protection show officers in masks and gloves screening international travelers in mid-March.
MORE: International College Students Still Stranded In U.S. As Coronavirus Travel Bans Continue
Data from flightaware.com shows in the last two weeks international flights to Newark Liberty Airport and John F. Kennedy Airport have arrived from China, South Korea, and much of Europe, including the United Kingdom and Italy.