In your opinion, do you think the Fed will CUT in July?
Fairy tales are fun. We can escape reality for a moment and enjoy the fictional fantasy. But for those who are willing to accept the cold hard truth, fairy tales are best left for story time. Statistically, something is very off today. The stock market is pricing in several rate cuts in 2019 yet stocks are at all time highs. We have stocks that are literally at $1 trillion. But we can’t even manage with some of the lowest interest rates in history?
The Money GPS – YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/user/TheMoneyGPS/community
Federal Reserve Board – Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20190619a.htm
Fed decision: FOMC holds rates steady, still sees no cuts in 2019
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/19/fed-decision-fed-leaves-rates-unchanged.html
Here’s what the stock market liked from the Fed
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/19/heres-what-the-stock-market-liked-from-the-fed.html
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https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2019-06-19_12-27-49.jpg?itok=AdTUTyVZ
Jeffrey Gundlach on Twitter: “Fed message today was essentially: the case for easing has strengthened, we hope that changes soon, if it doesn’t we’re behind the curve.” / Twitter
https://twitter.com/TruthGundlach/status/1141439203676315649
Sven Henrich on Twitter: “Fun historic fact: Every single time the Fed cut rates when unemployment was below 4% a recession immediately ensued & unemployment shot to 6%-7%. Again: Every. single. time. https://t.co/OyV8lNkRwz” / Twitter
John P. Hussman on Twitter: “With the exception of 1967 and 1996, every initial Fed rate cut has been associated with an oncoming or ongoing recession. Be careful what you wish for. https://t.co/SaWvQjrNOq” / Twitter
https://twitter.com/hussmanjp/status/1141066583630106624
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https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/NYFedRecessionProbabilityModel1985.png
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