AI credit cracks: CoreWeave CDS prices 63% default odds, CCC junk hits 17.49%, Oracle halves from June high as bond flight accelerates. I don’t think you understand how truly f**ked we are…

CoreWeave credit default swaps now imply a 63% chance of default within five years, the highest among major tech names. Spreads on Oracle, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta also widened. Oracle is down roughly 50% from its June high and another 12% in the past week. CCC junk bond yields reached 17.49%. Money is pouring into Treasuries; the 10-year yield dropped sharply Thursday after the two-day AI equity dump. AI-related debt issuance is slowing as rates stay elevated. Short seller Jim Chanos, who flagged Enron, described the “neo-clouds” as equipment-leasing businesses generating single-digit returns even in the boom and warned against magical valuations on mundane assets. The flight into government bonds is occurring while the AI buildout has been a major support for GDP, tax receipts and equity valuations; any sustained slowdown would widen deficits further.

Got a news tip or correction? Let us know

If you got something out of this, please chip in to keep this site running, or subscribe to go ad-free.

0 views