Heavy rainfall and strong winds are expected to hit the majority of Arizona early next week as Hurricane Rosa moves through the state, according to the National Weather Service in Flagstaff.
Rainfall is expected to begin Sunday night and last through Tuesday, and possibly longer, the National Weather Service said.
The agency’s latest update Thursday evening says higher-elevation areas north of the Valley, including Prescott, Payson and Flagstaff could see 3 to 4 inches of rain Monday through early Wednesday.
The Phoenix area could see 2 to 3 inches over the same period.
OK, so it won’t be Cat 4 by the time it gets to Arizona, but still!
Latest update from NOAA:
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Rosa was located near
latitude 16.9 North, longitude 117.3 West. Rosa is moving toward the
west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A gradual turn toward the west-northwest
and northwest is expected on Friday, followed by a turn toward the
north Saturday night and a turn toward the north-northeast on
Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher
gusts. Rosa is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Little significant change in strength is
forecast today, with gradual weakening anticipated by Saturday, and
further weakening at a faster rate expected early next week.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
The estimated minimum central pressure is 940 mb (27.76 inches).
Current track model here:
Hurricane Rosa may bring heavy rain and flooding to Arizona
Tropical storm, tropical depression characteristics are moving into Arizona and bringing in heavy rain, as well as the threat of flooding.
We’ve seen it 16 times since 1950. And now heading into the weekend, we’re tracking Hurricane Rosa currently churning in the east Pacific.
“It doesn’t seem like this particular storm is going to move up the Gulf of California. It’s going to take a track that’s more similar to Nora or Joanne from 1972,” said Larry Hopper, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service in Phoenix.
In 1972, Hurricane Joanne moved into south central Arizona, dropping more than 5 inches in some areas.
In 1977, Nora’s track was further west. Yuma picked up four inches of rain in just one day. That’s more than their annual average rainfall.