Market Signals

UK, Japan, and France: the worst sovereign bonds in the G7. You wanted more government and higher taxes. You got weaker growth, wider deficits, and a demolished balance sheet. Debt is not free. The bond market just repriced the bill. There is no such thing as free public… pic.twitter.com/iqaShZ8IRo — Daniel Lacalle Official Account (@dlacalle_IA) … Read more

Washington is basically saying, “Here’s less money to run the program. Also, good luck getting everyone’s paperwork right.” Then the benefit bill can start landing on states later. ABC, Sept 12: nationwide drop of roughly 5 million SNAP recipients since H.R. 1, the One Big Beautiful Bill, became law. CBPP puts children over 1.5 million. … Read more

The news just broke that SK Hynix and Samsung declined the proposal to repay 18 Billion in upfront costs for power supply in the next 5 years from Korea Electric Power Corp. What’s alarming is the reason why…. “The companies were unsure if such large upfront payments were necessary, citing uncertainty over the long-term durability … Read more

The AI slowdown story is getting treated like one giant trade. I don’t think it is. The people building the models are saying slow down. The people building the data centers are still spending hundreds of billions. And the market is suddenly trying to figure out which one matters more. Dario Amodei called for a … Read more

So he called Elon a traitor? — Nyck S (@DaRealNyckS) September 14, 2026 So you’re telling me Dario Amodei, Sam Altman, Elon Musk and other major AI figures all choose essentially the same moment to go public with warnings about slowing frontier AI roughly 7 weeks before the midterms and just before October, historically the … Read more

“If one year best describes September 2026, it is late 2007. Not because today is a replay of the housing collapse. It is because the position in the cycle looks similar. Headline growth remains positive, unemployment remains relatively low and corporate profits are holding up, while serious deterioration is already appearing underneath the aggregates. The … Read more

The AI selloff continues in Asia & Europe: – SK Hyix down 6.3%– Samsung -4%– ASML -5% Nvidia is down almost 3% in pre-market. It's all regulatory fear. Meanwhile, Anthropic reported that they will have a 2nd straight profitable quarter. Will the desire to IPO with strong… — Nic (@puckrin) September 14, 2026 If you … Read more

You can barely even see the 2008 global financial crisis and the covid crash of 2020 The S&P500 is free money pic.twitter.com/xoTNWAnqui — Black Mamba Millionaire (@BlackMambaMilli) September 12, 2026 US household net worth surged +$12.5 trillion in Q2 2026, to a record $185.7 trillion. This also marks the largest quarterly increase on record byu/RobertBartus … Read more

The funniest part of the Michael Burry jokes right now is that everyone expects him to find another housing crash. AI looks expensive. Nvidia looks expensive. The AI infrastructure spending is getting ridiculous. So everybody wants the sequel. Burry shorts Nvidia. AI crashes. Credits roll. Except real life doesn’t work like that. The funniest part … Read more

Core inflation is 2.4% and long run expectations remain around the mid 2s, yet the 10 year is near 5%, which tells you this is increasingly about real yields, term premium, Treasury supply and expectations for future growth and policy. That can persist for a while, but if high energy costs and restrictive rates start … Read more

Odds on getting to $50T in debt by the time Trump is out of office. — Dos (@delta0n3) September 11, 2026 😂😂😂 https://t.co/4HamOaRLtc — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) September 12, 2026 Long one: MAGA and liberalism have both been catastrophic failures. Let’s start with MAGA since they are in power. What a failure. Trump 2.0 is … Read more

Core CPI 2.4% Continuing the march to 2%. No objective reason to hike. pic.twitter.com/CgICa6fHLi — James E. Thorne (@DrJStrategy) September 11, 2026 Core CPI is at the lowest level since 2021. pic.twitter.com/C21HXAL1Me — Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) September 11, 2026 So, markets are up today even with oil and bond yields continuing to be high with … Read more

Japan's producer prices are still running at 7.6%. This is the bill for 20 years of money printing. The BOJ held rates at zero, ran QE, and pinned bond yields longer than any central bank alive. The yen collapsed. Everything Japan imports now costs a fortune in yen. That is… pic.twitter.com/dUyjKCvhU4 — Kurt S. Altrichter, … Read more

Everyone is panicking about the bond selloff. It just handed you the best fixed income yields in years. Over 80% of the global bond market now yields above 4%. The average yield in a bond portfolio has more than doubled in five years. The US 10-year sits near 4.8%. Bonds are… pic.twitter.com/N4TpB2XQNx — Kurt S. … Read more

American workers have stopped quitting their jobs. There is nowhere better to go. Only 33% of job seekers say it is a good time to find a quality job, down from over 70% at the 2022 peak. Hiring and firing are both stuck near their lowest levels since 2010. A labor market with… pic.twitter.com/TaewpeVGvZ — … Read more

September gets blamed for crashes because September has a reputation. But look at what is actually happening right now. Oil is back above $100. The 10-year is around 4.8%. The 30-year is above 5.2%. The jobs number came in way hotter than expected. Now traders are starting to price a higher chance of the Fed … Read more

The current decline in US bonds is unprecedented: 15+ year Treasuries have returned -2% per year on average over the last 10 years, their worst performance in history byu/RobertBartus inEconomyCharts JUST IN: Taxpayers are paying $2 trillion a year just in interest, without paying off any debt — Kalshi (@Kalshi) September 8, 2026 10-year Treasury … Read more