A look at the US economy, and the next recession

by Fabius Maximus  Summary: Trump’s mad efforts to start trade wars puts the US economy under stress. The outcome of the 2020 elections depends on the performance of the US economy in the next 17 months. How strong Is the US economy? Is the expansion “old”? Can we predict the next recession, and take fast action … Read more

Trump’s Trade War Is Paralyzing Business

By Patrick Watson Last week the Business Roundtable, an organization of large company leaders, released its quarterly CEO Economic Outlook Index. The index tracks what executives expect for sales, capital spending, and hiring over the next six months. The good news is the index has been above its historic average for 10 consecutive quarters. The … Read more

Here’s Why You Should Drive a Piece of Crap Car

By Jared Dillian I was unhappily scrolling through Facebook the other day and saw that one of my smart friends had posted a dumb article about the excellent Toronto Raptors basketball player who, despite making nearly a hundred million dollars, still drives a 20-year-old beater SUV. He said of the car: “It runs… and it’s … Read more

Bring on Higher Oil Prices: They’ll Boost the US Economy. Powell Sees it Too. A New Experience for the US

Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, http://www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter Here’s why. Powered by the iffy situation in the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Gulf of Oman, with attacks on tankers and now the downing of a US drone, the price of crude oil got a little nervous in recent days. WTI jumped about 6% today to over … Read more

Mike Maloney: A higher silver price is going to stun the markets … Ted Butler: JP Morgan has “spring-loaded an explosive move in gold” …

BY JOHN RUBINO Peter Schiff: The Fed readies the markets for a July rate cut … Gerald Celente: The economy will OD on “monetary methadone” … Max Keiser on “Deutsche Bank’s death spiral” … Mike Maloney: A higher silver price is going to stun the markets … Ted Butler: JP Morgan has “spring-loaded an explosive move … Read more

What Powell Really Said about the Economy and What Would Trigger a Rate Cut

Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, http://www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter For six months now, folks said the Fed had made a “U-turn” and would cut rates at the “next” meeting, or in between meetings, and by 50 basis points, and cut, cut, cut, and would re-start QE. But none of it happened — and might not happen this year. Here’s why, … Read more

Animation: The Basics of the Stock Market

by visualcapitalist Since its inception, the stock market has been one of the most powerful and consistent sources of wealth creation available. Although stocks see more volatility than other assets, they have also averaged a real return of 6.7% per year between 1925 and 2014, compared to just 2.7% for bonds and 0.5% for cash. And … Read more

Ilargi Meijer: “Our Economic Systems Have Been Destroyed By Our Central Bankers”

Authored by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog, I intentionally start writing this mere minutes away from Fed chair Jay Powell’s latest comments. Intentionally, because the importance ascribed to those comments only means we have gotten so far removed from what capitalism and free markets are supposed to be about, that it’s pathetic. The comments … Read more

Bill Murphy: There Are Signs The Manipulation IS ENDING NOW!

Bill Murphy interviewed on Reluctant Preppers Overt smackdowns of gold as it persistently and repeatedly tests a 6-year resistance & support limit are becoming more obvious, more desperate, and eventually will be proven futile, according to veteran gold market watchdog Bill Murphy of the Gold Antitrust Action Committee (GATA.org.) Murphy returns to Reluctant Peppers to contend that … Read more

Weird how anti-American regimes so often wind up needing US dollars to to keep their regimes afloat.

LATE-STAGE SOCIALISM: Venezuela Is Now Awash in U.S. Dollars. We used to catch only rare glimpses of them in public. A waiter willing to risk jail time might be persuaded to accept them for the right price. Amateur tourists would flash them at the airport. Shady street hawkers made offers for them under their breath. Now, … Read more