From Birch Gold Group
Worldwide, the pension crisis is all but imminent, threatening to reach a $400 trillion level. And now, corporate pensions appear to have arrived at a dangerous fork in the road that may lead to a full-blown catastrophe.
GE’S Pension Nightmare
General Electric is one of the largest companies in the world at $120 billion in total annual revenue as of 2017. You’d think it would have a strong pension program for its retirees.
Unfortunately, that is far from the truth. In January of this year, CNN Business laid out the GE pension nightmare in detail:
Not only does GE have the largest pension deficit among S&P 500 companies, that deficit is $11 billion worse than the next closest company, according to Dow Jones S&P Indices. (The $31 billion figure is from the end of 2016. Fresher numbers haven’t been released.)
Guatam Khanna, a Cowen and Co. analyst, said their balance sheet was “a mess.” And back then, GE proposed to borrow $6 billion to cover pension shortfalls.
Fast forward to now, and it looks like the pension nightmare continues. A recent Barron’s article zeroed in on the fact by highlighting a near-30% shortfall in assets to meet payment obligations:
Defined-benefit plans promise workers fixed payments, rather than the fixed contributions companies make to a 401(k). In all, GE’s workers have been promised about $100 billion in payments, but the company has only $71 billion in assets set aside to meet those obligations.
A GE spokesperson made it a point to remind Barron’s about the $6 billion in borrowed capital mentioned in January. Those funds would ease the burden of its pension shortfall until 2020, “assuming markets don’t fall” according to the article.
That sure seems like a dangerous bet to make with retirees’ future pension income. For example, the Dow Joneshas been especially volatile since October 3. There are 618,000 active and retired workers on GE’s defined benefit plans. Approximately two-thirds of those are covered by U.S. retirement law (ERISA).
The law basically requires companies to “set aside funds for future payments.” So if GE’s gamble fails it will reach a dangerous fork in the road: find another source of funding or terminate its pension program altogether.
Either way, uncertainty wasn’t part of the original “pension promise” made by the company.
And speaking of promises made to retirees, it appears another large corporation has already chosen its path.
Bristol-Myers Squibb Kicks Its Pension Program to the Curb
According to Pensions and Investments (paywall), pharmaceutical giant Bristol-Myers Squibb will terminate its pension program as of February 1st, 2019.
At $20.78 billion in revenue and over $5 billion in net operating cash flow as of 2017, you might think Bristol could deliver on its promise to continue its pension program. If so, retirees would then be able to continue receiving normal distributions.
Instead, according to the same P&I article, come July 2019 retirees will have to take a “lump sum” distribution and deal with the resulting headaches (like tax implications). The article ended with a couple of interesting facts (emphasis ours):
The U.S. plan has been frozen to benefit accruals since 2009 and the full plan termination represents “the largest” such termination to date “that primarily includes terminated vested and active participants,” according to the news release.
As of Dec. 31, the company reported in its most recent 10-K filing a total of $6.749 billion in global pension plan assets and an identical amount in projected benefit obligations.
So if one company with over $5 billion in net operating cash flow can’t sustain its pension plan, and another has a huge shortfall, what does that say about the rest?
Don’t Let Your Retirement Get Pulled Out From Under You
The truth is, the majority of public and corporate pension programs are heading towards extinction. So if yours was to get cut or stopped, what would you do?
One possible solution is to do whatever it takes to ensure your retirement gets on firm ground as soon as possible. Consider diversifying your assets, and taking back control of your portfolio. One asset class to consider adding is precious metals such as gold and silver which can add stability during uncertain times.
Remember, a house can’t be built without a solid foundation.
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