Emerging market industrial production growth is below US industrial production growth for the first time since the Asian crisis in 2002.

by AlexPitti

The October industrial production report was positive as industrial production growth was 4.1% year over year and manufacturing growth was 2.7% year over year. Both hit a 10 year high.

About 70% of industrial production growth was due to oil related line items this cycle, but some think the decline in oil won’t hurt industrial production as much as the last crash in late 2014 and 2015. That’s because mining and oilfield machinery as a percentage of nonresidential investment in equipment is lower than the peak in 2012.

Late Cycle Oil Price Decline & Effect On Consumer