Harvard poll: Majority of U.S. voters, incl. Hispanics and Democrats, support citizenship question in census

by Dr. Eowyn

According to Harvard University’s latest national monthly public policy poll, released by the Harvard’s Center for American Political Studies and the Harris Poll, a majority of all registered U.S. voters, Hispanics, and Democrats favor adding a question about whether the census respondent is a U.S. citizen to the 2020 census.

The poll also found that:

  • A majority of U.S. voters, including even Democrats and Liberals, as well all races and both genders think the U.S. economy today is strong.
  • A majority of U.S. voters believe there is growing crisis at the border.
  • A majority of U.S. voters also support President Trump declaring a national emergency to build a border wall.
  • There is no support for a war with Iran or anywhere in the Middle East.

From June 26-29, 2019, the survey of a nationally representative sample of 2,182 registered voters was conducted online. Results were weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, political party, political ideology, and education where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population.

Here are the poll’s findings (partial list):

On the question “Should the census be able to ask whether people living here are US citizens?”:

  • All registered voters: 67% yes, 33% no
  • Political ideology:
    • Conservatives: 90% yes, 10% no
    • Liberals: 44% yes, 56% no
  • Political party:
    • Republicans: 88% yes, 12% no
    • Democrats: 52% yes, 48% no
    • Independents: 63% yes, 37% no
  • Race:
    • Whites: 72% yes, 28% no
    • Blacks: 59% yes, 41% no
    • Hispanics: 55% yes, 45% no
  • Gender:
    • Males: 67% yes, 33% no
    • Females: 67% yes, 33% yes

On “How strong do you think the U.S. economy is today?“:

  • All registered voters: 69% “strong”, 31% “weak”
  • Political ideology:
    • Conservatives: 87% “strong”; 13% “weak”
    • Liberals: 58% “strong”; 42% “weak”
  • Political party:
    • Republicans: 90% “strong”; 10% “weak”
    • Democrats: 56% “strong”; 44% “weak”
    • Independents: 65% “strong”; 35% “weak”
  • Race:
    • Whites: 74% “strong”; 26% “weak”
    • Blacks: 54% “strong”; 46% “weak”.
    • Hispanics: 62% “strong”; 37% “weak”
  • Gender:
    • Males: 75% “strong”; 24% “weak”
    • Females: 63% “strong”; 37% “weak”

“Do you think there is a growing humanitarian and security crisis at our border with Mexico, or is this mainly a manufactured political crisis ahead of the 2020 elections?”:

  • 62% “growing crisis”, 38% “manufactured crisis”

On the Wall: “In the last month over 100,000 people were intercepted trying tocross illegally into United States on the southern border with Mexico.Given these numbers, do you favor or oppose the decision by the President to declare a national emergency to secure the funding he needs to build a wall on the border with Mexico?”:

  • 52% favor, 48% oppose

On deportation: “Would you favor or oppose a mass action by the U.S. government to roundup and remove thousands of illegal immigrantsfrom the United States?”:

  • 47% favor, 53% oppose

“Do you think President Trump is too tough, too lenient or just right in dealing with illegal immigrants caught trying to cross the border?”:

  • 42% too tough, 24% too lenient, 34% just right

On war against Iran:

  • “Should the United States have launched a military strike on Iran after it shot down an unmanned U.S. drone in international waters last week?”: 28% “attacked”, 72% “not attacked”
  • “Would you support or oppose another US-led military engagement in the Middle East?”: 38% support, 62% oppose
  • “Would you support or oppose the U.S. government launching a military strike on Iran if it continues hostilities in the Persian Gulf and the region but does not attack US military assets or personnel?”: 43% support, 57% oppose

On the question “In general, do you think the country is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?“:

  • All registered voters: 38% “right track”; 55% say “wrong track”; 7% “don’t know/unsure”.
  • Political ideology:
    • Conservatives: 66% “right track”; 27% “wrong track”
    • Liberals: 18% “right track”; 75% “wrong track”
  • Political party:
    • Republicans: 71% “right track”; 23% “wrong track”
    • Democrats: 15% “right track”; 80% “wrong track”
    • Independents: 31% “right track”; 59% “wrong track”
  • Race:
    • Whites: 42% “right track”; 50% “wrong track”
    • Blacks: 20% “right track”; 75% “wrong track”
    • Hispanics: 38% “right track”; 53% “wrong track”
  • Gender:
    • Males: 43% “right track”; 51% “wrong track”
    • Females: 34% “right track”; 59% “wrong track”

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President of the United States“:

  • All registered voters: 44% approve; 56% disapprove
  • Political ideology:
    • Conservatives: 78% approve, 22% disapprove
    • Liberals: 18% approve, 82% disapprove
  • Political party:
    • Republicans: 83% approve, 17% disapprove
    • Democrats: 13% approve, 87% disapprove
    • Independents: 41% approve, 59% disapprove
  • Race:
    • Whites: 51% approve, 49% disapprove
    • Blacks: 20% approve, 80% disapprove
    • Hispanics: 39% approve, 61% disapprove
  • Gender:
    • Males: 49% approve, 51% disapprove
    • Females: 40% approve, 60% disapprove

“Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democratic Party is handling its job?”:

  • 72% of Democrats approve, 28% disapprove

“Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republican Party is handling its job?”:

  • 75% of Republicans approve, 24% disapprove

~Eowyn

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