If “Medicare-for-All”’s total cost for the first 10 years is in line with projections produced by the American Action Forum, Mercatus Center, and Urban Institute—roughly $32 trillion to $38 trillion—I estimate 40 million to 60 million households would end up paying more in new taxes than they would receive in health care benefits. Millions of these households would lose more than $10,000 annually, even if it is assumed they would otherwise need to pay a full health insurance deductible and some out-of-pocket expenses under a private health insurance model.
Contrary to the claims made by the leading Democratic candidates, millions of middle-class earners would be hit particularly hard under “Medicare-for-All.” For example, filers earning $50,000 to $75,000 would likely need to pay on average $7,773 to $9,171 more in new taxes. Those families earning $75,000 to $100,000 would pay $12,612 to $14,880 more. Most households with more than $100,000 income would pay close to or more than $20,000 in additional taxes.
Left unsaid? When Washington controls virtually all health spending, instead of just fighting with your insurer over coverage, you’ll be fighting against everyone from the lowliest welfare recipient to giant defense contractors over a common pool of tax dollars.