If we’re reaching debt-saturation level (QE not working) all business consumer indexes will “drop dramatically” according to the economy cycle playbook

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JPMorgan Cuts US Q1 2019 GDP Growth Estimate Again, Now Down to Just 1.5%

“Durable goods orders rose less than forecast in December with core capital orders posting a surprise drop.”

Fed Pivot and ECRI Leading Indexes

Lakshman Achuthan on CNBC’s Closing Bell to discuss ECRI’s public outlook, including:

– Bullard’s recognition of the U.S. slowdown is in line with ECRI’s earlier slowdown call

– The Fed’s U-turn doesn’t inoculate the economy against recession

– The elephant in the room remains the U.S. cyclical slowdown

– Comments on ECRI’s Chinese Leading Indexes

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