Are lawmakers finally backing away from another shutdown fight?
GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN RISK FALLS TO 29%
As of early January 2026, Kalshi markets put the chance of a U.S. government shutdown on Jan. 31 at just 29%, down from 40–48% last month.
Why the risk is falling:
• Unified Republican control reduces the likelihood of gridlock
• The… pic.twitter.com/XnuR7BYShW— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) January 2, 2026
After the longest shutdown in history, a 43-day stoppage that ended in November 2025, markets and lawmakers are now watching closely as a new funding deadline approaches.
As 2026 begins, fears of another shutdown, which were mounting, are easing, with prediction markets now showing a 26% chance of a U.S. government shutdown in January.
https://coinpedia.org/news/u-s-shutdown-fears-ease-odds-drop-to-26-bullish-for-crypto/