Morgan Stanely: Don’t bet on a melt-up

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via themarketear:

Wilson´s worried:

1. We do not change our broader call for a multi-year trading range of 2400 – 3000 for the S&P. With valuations at the high end of

fair value and continued conviction that earnings estimates still need to be lowered, we would avoid betting on a melt up

2. The high beat rate this earnings season is not getting us excited given how much

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estimates were previously lowered.

3. we think the market would also need to see a better growth outlook, a peaking dollar, and an uptick in consumer confidence for the melt up to play out from here

MS: don't bet on a melt-up
Morgan Stanely
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