Investment Watch Blog

The Biden administration is putting out a call for government volunteers to report for duty amid the significant surge at the border, but many are asking, Where is the person deputized to ‘fix’ the line-in-the-sand crisis? As the immigration mess at the southern border gets more and more out of hand, Vice President Kamala Harris remains inexplicably silent. Even after President Biden officially … Read more

Howie Carr: FBI whiffs again on Colorado mass shooting suspect. So now it turns out that the FBI knew all about the accused Boulder shooter, but paid no attention to the obvious warning signs until police say the rabidly anti-American immigrant from Syria murdered 10 U.S. citizens in the supermarket. “The suspect’s identity,” the New … Read more

The repressive objective of the Democratic-controlled Congress is to transfer the power to police and censor political discourse from these tech giants to themselves. Glenn Greenwald March 26, 2021 Over the course of five-plus hours on Thursday, a House Committee along with two subcommittees badgered three tech CEOs, repeatedly demanding that they censor more political … Read more

A cyber-attack has disrupted live broadcasts on Australia’s Channel Nine TV network, prompting concerns about the country’s vulnerability to hackers. The broadcaster said it was unable to air several shows on Sunday, including Weekend Today. Nine said it was investigating whether the hack was “criminal sabotage or the work of a foreign nation”.+https://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-56554641

In groundbreaking new research, scientists have made a structural battery 10 times better than in any previous experiment. What’s a structural battery, and why is it such a big deal? The term refers to an energy storage device that can also bear weight as part of a structure—like if the studs in your home were … Read more

(The Center Square) – Red states are leading economic growth in the U.S., a new report by the U. S. Commerce Department shows, with South Dakota, Texas and Utah reporting the highest growth. The report is based on 2020 fourth quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data and February 2021 unemployment rates. Real GDP increased in all 50 … Read more

by Margincall69 Two major banks (so far) have announced major multi-billion losses in relation the forced liquidation of Archegos’ trades, Nomura and CS. Here is CS’ statement released early today: https://preview.redd.it/j8vmfwm04xp61.png?width=1158&format=png&auto=webp&s=93ce6e086cd7e481eb5de3de51fc91a51291b9dc It tends to confirm that liquidation is not over yet, so brace for further impact in stocks like VIAC, DISCA… Forced liquidation is messy … Read more

Presentation They are projecting adj. EBITDA of 1.98 Billion in 2024 but they are assuming 85% occupancy to get that figure, so I don’t know how realistic that figure is. Wework is a much better company that last time it tried to go public and the new management has cut costs with a chainsaw. I … Read more

by Kaawumba Robert Shiller has discovered a backward looking metric, which he calls Excess CAPE Yield (ECY), that shows a correlation with future returns. He discusses it in a blog post (https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/making-sense-of-soaring-stock-prices-by-robert-j-shiller-et-al-2020-11), but doesn’t go into that much detail. He does share the underlying data on-line. Essentially, ECY measures how desirable stocks are compared to bonds, … Read more

by reggieoninvesting According to CBOE, ARKX will begin trading on Tuesday, March 30, 2021.https://markets.cboe.com/us/equities/notices/new_listings/details/?etf=true&firm_name=ARK&first_trade_dt=2021-03-30&ipo=true&symbols=ARKX Here are some stocks and SPACS that could be in their holdings. I made a spreadsheet so you can see my full list there. I’ve also included the holdings for the Japan Space Exploration Mutual Fund for December 2020 through March 2021 with … Read more

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-29/credit-suisse-flags-potential-significant-loss-from-hedge-fund ​ The article is linked above, we should dig more into this as news comes out and find out the exact causes. Apparently 20B in shares had to be sold, that just doesn’t happen left and right. This is a rather rare occurrence in my opinion. ​ Remember before the financial crisis there were … Read more

by ShaidarHaran2 https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1579982/000110465921042507/tm2110363-5_497.htm https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1579982/000110465920129560/tm2031206-1_485bpos.htm#a_additionalrisk Specify risks of investing in SPACs Remove limit on ADRs, warrants, preferreds, etc Remove 10% limit on investing of assets in single firm, up to 30% now Remove limit on investing in 20+% of a single firm’s shares Seems to allow them to make even bigger bets on specific plays, i.e … Read more

by lolfunctionspace Capital requirements were 12-20%, call it 15% on average so could have been 5-6x leveraged with a small cushion. Something like 20b in capital – 80b longs and 40b shorts. Tech / growth tech vs a lot of s&p on short side. 2/ — Jeff Davies, the Energy OG (@EnergyCredit1) March 28, 2021 … Read more

#recession … #Tech #Bubble 2.0 edition#ARK #ARKinvest $ARKK 📉 https://t.co/fAsGbR80cL — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) March 26, 2021 #recession … #Fed Pushing on a String edition https://t.co/AEbTgSzyGi — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) March 26, 2021 #recession … #GFC2 US #Housing #Bubble 2.0 edition#RealEstate 📉 https://t.co/3syICJca3X — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) March 26, 2021 #recession … #StockMarket #Bubble edition … Read more