Investors Are All-in Financial Assets At An Historic Bubble….Any Number Of Catalysts Can Prick It.

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Investors are all-in financial assets at an historic bubble. When the entirety of Wall Street has bought into the popular delusion, you have likely finally reached the peak. Any number of catalysts can prick it. How many of these reports even mentioned war with Iran as a risk? https://t.co/d2QIDrExB3 — Kevin C. Smith, CFA (@crescatkevin) … Read more

2020 Minimum Wage Hikes To Help Or Hurt Economy?

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by UPFINA With stocks on a high note, it’s easy to see numerous potential catalysts that could throw it into a correction. However, it’s up to investors to determine which potential catalyst has a negative enough expected value to end this great streak. One potential negative catalyst the stock market is ignoring is Bernie Sanders’ increasing … Read more

Nine States Face Economic Contraction, Most Since 2009 Crisis

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(Bloomberg) — Nine U.S. states’ economies are expected to slide into contraction within six months — the most since the financial crisis ended more than a decade ago, according to the latest projections from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. West Virginia’s economy is forecast to shrink the most, while a decline in neighboring Pennsylvania … Read more

Illinoisans Leave State in Record Numbers, and So Are We

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via mishtalk According to new IRS documents for 2017 and 2018, people are fleeing Illinois in record numbers. New IRS data confirms Record Number of Illinoisans Leave State as Tax Base Continues to Shrink. The IRS has just released new domestic migration data for both 2017 and 2018 and it shows Illinoisans left the state in record numbers. In … Read more

Spy puts for all next week?

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Don’t go full apesh*t… remember the fed is still printing money….. however, this gives managers a reasons to sell positions       h/t GeezIjustdontknow     Disclaimer: Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.  

Iran’s likely response scenarios. Priced in.

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by BadaBing___BadaBoom This is a list of likely scenarios I’ve compiled and am picking through to find specific companies, ETFs, and etc. to bet on. Iran has never waited too long to respond, because the regime is insecure with their قضيب (qadib) size. Boat seizures in Gulf, everyone knows they’ll do it. Shipping is going … Read more

Fed Funds COT Leading Indication: McClellan

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by Tom McClellan The efforts of the Federal Reserve to inject extra liquidity into the banking system over the past 2 months have helped to fuel the year-end (2019) rally.  Questions remain about how long the Fed may choose to keep up that effort, and whether the Fed has enough ink in the printing presses to … Read more

The Doomsday Machine Returns: Citibank Has Sold Protection on $858 Billion of Credit Default Swaps.

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via wallstreetonparade Margot Robbie in the Movie, “The Big Short,” Which Focused on How Derivatives Blew Up Wall Street in 2008 By Pam Martens and Russ Martens: January 3, 2020 ~ Lily Tomlin is credited with the quote: “No matter how cynical you get, it is impossible to keep up.” Wall Street regularly brings that message … Read more

Economic ‘Doom Loops’ Get Harder to Avoid in 2020s

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The world’s advanced economies are trying to keep their balance on an unstable platform of high consumption, asset prices and household debt as we enter the 2020s. Any significant shock or increase in volatility could trigger “doom loops” that compromise the economic and financial systems. The great recession ended more than a decade ago. In recent … Read more

What if the Fed finds that it can’t step back from repo operations due to fear of financial dislocations?

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Authored by Ritesh Jain via WorldOutOfWhack.com, …’Cause I’ve had the time of my life..and I owe it all to you.. The original song from Dirty Dancing is one of my all time favourites and somehow reminds me of the Global Markets performance this year.Every conceivable asset class (except cash) posted positive returns ,thanks to the … Read more