Goldman Sachs Bear Market Indicator Predicts 0% 12-Month Stock Market Return

Goldman’s bear market indicator is at a rare 73 percent, its highest level since the late 1960s and early 1970s. At such levels, the tool predicts a zero average return over the next 12 months and a “substantial” risk of drawdown. The indicator is “flashing red,” wrote Goldman chief global equity strategist Peter Oppenheimer. “Historically, … Read more

Global Fund Managers More Bearish on World Economy Than at Any Time Since 2008

via Yahoo: Fund managers haven’t been this bearish about the global economy’s outlook since November 2008, according to the latest Bank of America Lynch survey of global fund managers, an important measure of investor sentiment. According to the survey, 44% of the fund managers expect global growth to decelerate in the next year, the worst … Read more

Canada’s housing market is imploding, growth is slowing and it will eventually go negative like it did back in the 80’s.

Canada’s housing market is imploding, growth is slowing and it will eventually go negative like it did back in the 80’s. Caterpillar once again is reporting weakening sales. The manipulation is coming to an end. Conspiracy no more for gold. JP Morgan trader turns states evidence and points to others. This is not just a … Read more

The Welfare Generation: Over Half Of America’s Kids Live In Households Getting Govt Assistance

Authored by Terence Jeffrey via CNSNews.com, The Census Bureau has released new data that strengthens the case for calling the current generation of American children “The Welfare Generation.” Among American residents under 18 years of age in 2017, according to the Census Bureau, 51.7 percent lived in households in which one or more persons received benefits … Read more

I Read The News So You Don’t Have To – Market News (Nov. 13, 2018)

by ogordained UNITED STATES A strengthening dollar is weakening the outlook of corporate earnings The Bear/Bull Market Index might be signaling the end of a long bull market Small banks are experiencing an uptick in credit card delinquencies, sending rates higher Despite low gas prices, truckload hauling rates have skyrocketed Futures point to a higher opening today OTHER Defense stocks and REITs are benefiting from a semiconductor selloff spurred by anticipated weak … Read more

China’s latest financial data paints a bleak economic outlook amid trade war with US

China’s financial condition weakened in October, pointing to a further deceleration in the world’s second-biggest economy amid the trade war with the United States. While Beijing has been pressing the country’s banks to boost lending to the “real economy”, newly granted loans nearly halved to 677 billion yuan (US$97.32 billion) in October, from 1.38 trillion … Read more

Canadian oil is below $15. Depression levels of cheap.

By Nick Cunningham Canadian oil prices briefly plunged as low as $15 per barrel last week, after a U.S. federal judge blocked the construction of the Keystone XL pipeline. Canada’s oil industry has lurched from pipeline crisis to pipeline crisis, with projects blocked at every turn. Just a few months ago, the Trans Mountain expansion – a proposed … Read more

How Much Copper is in an Electric Vehicle?

via visualcapitalist: Copper’s special relationship with electricity has been apparent since ship designers first regularly began installing copper to protect the masts of wooden ships from lightning in the early 19th century. Today, of course, you might be more used to seeing copper’s electrical applications through the use of power lines, telephone wires, and wiring in … Read more

Party Like 1999 & 2000 or respect bearish divergences?

by Kimble Charting CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE This 4-pack looks at the DJ Home Construction, Banks, Junk Bonds and the S&P 500, highlighting that bearish divergences took place in 1999 and 2007 at each (1). These assets were sending bearish topping messages “BEFORE”the tops in 2000 & 2007. Looking at this year, each asset has been … Read more

EXPLOSIVE: a plain man’s guide to Brexit reality, & the eight Brexit murderers named.

by John Ward In negotiating with Brussels, the Prime Minister’s EU-loyal Cabinet and Whitehall cabal have employed one central tactic over the last twelve months: to leave every ordinary British citizen completely confused, bamboozled and exhausted to the point of apathy on the subject of Brexit. The Slog offers the antidote to that cynical snake-bite, and … Read more

America’s Fake-Money Success Was an Accident

by Bill Bonner YOUGHAL, IRELAND – “The whole thing is a giant fraud,” was perhaps too much for an unprepared audience to take on. Your editor, in trying to explain why the U.S. money is “fake,” had perhaps bitten off more than he could chew… at least in the context of a panel discussion in Ireland … Read more

US-China Trade Dispute Not the Only Thing Hitting Germany

Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, http://www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter “Outlook has deteriorated even more for the Eurozone than for Germany.” While the trade disputes between the US and China loom large for Germany’s export-dependent economy, the developing malaise is broader. The German stock index DAX has dropped 15.4% since the end of January, even after today’s 1.3% gain. “Negative growth” in GDP … Read more

Oil Carnage – What To Make Of This?

by Chris I follow oil very closely, and I cannot remember any market carnage like this before. Even forgetting the 14 days down in a row (a record), today’s -8% spanking had better be some sort of major capitulation. Obviously there’s a ton of shale drillers out there whose unhedged production revenue projections just got … Read more