Advertisers Blacklist Hard News, Including Trump, Fearing Backlash

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Like many advertisers, Fidelity Investments wants to avoid advertising online near controversial content. The Boston-based financial-services company has a lengthy blacklist of words it considers off-limits. If one of those words is in an article’s headline, Fidelity won’t place an ad there. Its list earlier this year, reviewed by The Wall Street Journal, contained more … Read more

LATE-STAGE SOCIALISM: A nation is vanishing: Has Venezuela lost almost 20 percent of its population?

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via miamiherald: Mark Green, administrator of the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), said on Feb. 16, 2019, that getting humanitarian aid to Venezuela is an effort not just of the United States, but of the whole region. A staggering 15 to 19 percent of Venezuela’s total population has left the country amid an economic … Read more

BUT WE WON’T BECAUSE IT WOULD MAKE TOO MUCH SENSE: Why The United States Should Treat Immigration like A Job Interview.

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via thefederalist: When technical qualifications and cultural fit are suggested as elements of immigration policy, adversarial reactions far surpass the typical reflexive and groundless accusations of racism routinely hurled against conservatives. Indeed, the hysteria in such circumstances is reminiscent of the scene in “Raiders of the Lost Ark” in which the Ark of the Covenant is … Read more

Equity Put/Call Volume Ratio’s 21-Day MA

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by Tom McClellan   The stock market selloff since the last new all-time high on July 26 has brought the bears out, and they have been trading a lot of put options.  Some trade those as an outright bearish bet, and some as a hedge on portfolio risk.  Whatever the motivation for those trades, it is … Read more

[C] Before [D], It’s Getting Ready To Blow

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The [DS] is panicking, [AS] tweets out again about deep fakes. More information is dripping out, the reason for this is get the American people on the same page. HRC email documents were released and they show the server was forwarding classified emails to a foreign entity. Coats resigned today, next id the Declass. Everything … Read more

GAME OVER: Middle-Class, Poor Kids Ditching Youth Sports

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Youth sports in the U.S. are diverging according to income — more middle- and lower-income students quitting athletics while participation among wealthier children is rising. The typical family with kids who play sports spends about $700 a year on fees, equipment and more, but some spend up to $35,000. More public schools are also charging … Read more

This is how recessions blind side people

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This article goes on to say that in spite of the yield curve inversion, the economy is looking very good. And how Q3 numbers are actually not bad. Which I don’t disagree with. But a yield curve inversion is typically 12-18 months before a recession, not 3-4 months. So we’ll have people talking a lot … Read more

China is in worse shape than the US in this trade war, possibly cause or start of the next global meltdown

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by Drew1904 So hear me out. I personally think underneath the hood China really is hurting worse than us in this trade war but with their centuries of experience saving face and authoritarian government they’re putting on a pretty good kabuki theater. I believe they have issued so much debt so fast they are now … Read more

Global bond yields have fallen to 120-year low; The last time global bond yields were this low, Winston Churchill was being captured, and then escaping, during the Anglo-Boer War.

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via MarketWatch: It’s been 120 years since bond yields around the world were this low. That’s according to a calculation by Bank of America Merrill Lynch, which uses average yields from a host of countries — the U.K, Australia, Japan, Switzerland, France and the U.S. — to arrive at the data. These low yields are … Read more

Google trends forecasting

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by kyrychenko17roman Created using VAR model from vars R-package and ggplot2. You can find approach description here – http://randomforest.run/posts/var-time-series-analysis-using-r/ Data collected using trendyy package from Goggle trends.

Median home price in America’s most expensive and least expensive metro area, 1991-2019

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by academiaadvice Source: NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index | https://www.nahb.org/research/housing-economics/housing-indexes/housing-opportunity-index.aspx | Adjusted for inflation using CPI-U: https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/consumer-price-index-and-annual-percent-changes-from-1913-to-2008/ | Tools: Excel; Datawrapper

Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio says there’s a 40% chance of a US recession before the 2020 election

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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/16/bridgewater-ray-dalio-on-possible-us-recession-global-economy-investing-in-gold.html The U.S. economy is taking a turn for the worse, says Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates. Fears of a looming recession in the U.S. were heightened after a closely watched indicator flashed a warning signal: The yield on the 10-year Treasury note briefly broke below the 2-year rate early Wednesday. Cutting interest rates … Read more

Why yields are crashing further today and potentially the biggest market catalyst of the year or even decade….

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by someroastedbeef As we all know, the ECB essentially said that they going to start juicing up the economy hardcore and by no coincidence, Powell ordered a media blackout barring any Federal Reserve staff member from making any public comments on monetary policy – this is why yields have been crashing at an alarming rate … Read more