There is a setup for a strong economic contraction, the cycle seems to be rolling over right now but it might take a bit of time yet.
by SpontaneousDisorder The main indicators to look for will be a severe drop in the stock market and steepening of the yield curve. The yield curve is quite flat, the 5yr/2yr is inverted but the rest is not. But a steepening of the curve would probably still be a strong indicator the economy is going … Read more