Investment Watch Blog

via SUNNY OH An inverted yield curve has a strong record as a recession predictor The yield curve has captured Wall Street—and to a lesser extent Main Street’s—attention in recent weeks. And for a good reason. The past nine recessions have been preceded by the inversion of the curve, where short-term Treasury rates exceed their long-term counterparts. … Read more

by Jody Chudley of Daily Reckoning It is a problem impacting everyone, including you. And it is hitting us right where it hurts — in the wallet. The issue is a massive shortage of truck drivers in the United States. American Trucking Associations believe that we need at least 50,000 additional truck drivers, and we need … Read more

by Daniel Carter Over the past several decades, the left has convinced United States citizens that it is the only option for black and other minority voters. If any blacks dare to deviate from this narrative, they get labeled as an “Uncle Tom” or worse. Fortunately, for the benefit of America’s black community, many black intellectuals … Read more

by Jim Willie CB The United States has three requirements in returning to the Gold Standard. They will be extremely difficult to achieve. They each serve as essential requirements in a criterion. All three are urgently needed. The challenge is formidable for the nation to remain as a leading player in the global economy. The … Read more

by Brandon Smith The crash of 2008 brought with it a host of strange economic paradigms rarely if ever seen in history; paradigms which have turned normal fiscal analysis on its head. While some core fundamentals remain the same no matter what occurs, the reporting of this data has been deliberately skewed to hide the … Read more

by Daniel Carter Last month, Congressman Dan Donovan introduced legislation to the House of Representatives called the Unmasking Antifa Act of 2018. If passed, this legislation could potentially give someone 15 years in prison for wearing a mask while injuring, threatening, oppressing or intimidating a person. This Act became extremely popular this week when right-wing commentator … Read more

Do you believe that the government has wronged you? If so, you are not alone. Contrary to belief, people and businesses have won lawsuits filed against town, city, state or county governments. Why shouldn’t the government be held liable for an accident that resulted in you being disabled? Well, they should be treated no different … Read more

by Simon Black We’ve spent a lot of time in our regular conversations talking about the looming retirement crisis around the world. The data is horrific. Pension and Social Security programs in nearly every developed nation are woefully underfunded. In the United States, senior government officials including the Secretary of the Treasury, the Secretary of Labor, … Read more

via  Aaron Elstein A lot of Wall Street number-crunchers are going to be chained to their desks tomorrow when JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo all report second-quarter earnings more or less simultaneously. Truth be told, all is not well in bank-land, where the KBW Bank Index has fallen 1.5% this year while the S&P 500 … Read more

by Martin Armstrong Reuters is reporting that Northern Ireland was hit by a new wave of street violence overnight on the eve of annual parades. This is demonstrating that there remains underlying tensions between pro-British Protestants and Irish nationalist Catholics in the British occupied region. Vehicles were set on fire, petrol bombs were thrown, and roads were … Read more

by Martin Armstrong QUESTION: Hi Martin, You are unique in your insight into the growing theft of our money and dignity by the increasingly draconian authorities. Sometimes it’s hard to tell in this era of clickbait and fake news whether something you read is real. In the case of Councils, however, which universally seem to be … Read more

Via ZeroHedge The tax code is so horribly intricate, convoluted and difficult to follow that the Trump administration may have inadvertently just gifted those who store cash and investments offshore another major tax cut – allowing them to tap the 21% corporate rate – without even knowing it. Not unlike the patchwork job that the Federal Reserve … Read more

BO was worst Prez ever. Now worst ex-Prez ever. via freebeacon: Former president Barack Obama, who has maintained a low profile since leaving the White House, reemerged in a new video to garner support for a redistricting group led by former attorney general Eric Holder that is targeting Republican politicians in a dozen states across the … Read more

https://twitter.com/wretchardthecat/status/1017646830539063296 Thought to be fair, I’m not sure I’d call this a “steely glint” exactly. I foresee this being used as a meme or gif. #Creepy #Strzok #FoxNews pic.twitter.com/uUHC7wv7EP — Holly Bowie (@Hollybowie) July 12, 2018 This is so over then top, I thought it was fake at first. UPDATE: Roger Simon: Peter Strzok’s Smirk Said … Read more

Brandon Straka announces his nationwide unity march against partisan hatred, and he calls on democrats to just walk away from the party that betrayed them. The #WalkAway Movement Is Taking America By Storm At now over 100,000 members in its Facebook group and widespread international media coverage, the #WalkAway movement of former Democrats telling their … Read more

by Martin Armstrong Nicaragua is in crisis and keeps spiraling toward a much more profound bloodier conflict and revolution. President Daniel Ortega is fighting intensely against the rising civil unrest and has lost control of the streets. We are witnessing how “confidence” is the most critical factor in holding governments in power.  Once the people lose … Read more