Slow Down! Atlanta Fed’s Q3 GDP Forecast Has Tanked To 2.3% (Down From 6.1% On July 30th)

by confoundedinterest17

Build back badly?

The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model estimate for real Q# GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) is 2.3 percent on October 1, down from 3.2 percent on September 27. After recent releases from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the US Census Bureau, and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 2.2 percent and 15.9 percent, respectively, to 1.4 percent and 12.9 percent, respectively, while the nowcast of the contribution of the change in real net exports to third-quarter real GDP growth increased from -1.36 percentage points to -1.27 percentage points.

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Here is the breakdown.

Its a slow down. The massive Federal stimulus seems to be wearing-out faster than expected.




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