Macro Risks To The Stock Market Are Mounting
by jessefelder In preparing for an interview with Macro Voices this week, I put together a brief chart book. The following is a preview of what I’ll be discussing with Erik Townsend on the
macro
Do people realize that the set of “record-high” macro figures in the first and second quarter helped by the base-effect will likely be a record slump in the third and fourth quarter?
Do people realize that the set of "record-high" macro figures in the first and second quarter helped by the base-effect will likely be a record slump in the third and
Record valuations and leverage alone do not make a market top. Add macro timing:
Record valuations and leverage alone do not make a market top. Add macro timing: -Faltering consumer confidence-Liquidity drying up-Negative economic surprises-EPS growth deceleration-Yield curve inversions-Extreme VIX short-China shocks to comet.co/9DrQo35QlK
Critical Macro Warning Signals Lining Up Today… Kevin Smith & Tavi Costa – We Believe We’re In The Early Stages Of A Bear Market
Record valuations and leverage alone do not make a market top. Add macro timing: -Faltering consumer confidence-Liquidity drying up-Negative economic surprises-EPS growth deceleration-Yield curve inversions-Extreme VIX short-China shocks to comet.co/9DrQo35QlK
This is RIGHT ON and to those who think macro does not matter – well you are wrong
This is RIGHT ON and to those who think macro does not matter – well you are wrong h/t @hks55 pic.twitter.com/e2tbAKNapO — mcm-ct.com (@mcm_ct) April 16, 2019 The three-month trend
How Macro Trends Shape the Market’s Future
by visualcapitalist It’s hard to say for certain what the future holds. Without the luxury of a crystal ball, investors must find opportunities by analyzing the market. There’s just one problem:
Market outlook: macro weakness is offset by bullish price action
by Troy The economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why: The stock market’s long term risk:reward is no longer bullish.
The big macro wheels are turning and everybody better pay very close attention. The Reckoning is coming.
by northmantrader The big macro wheels are turning and everybody better pay very close attention. The Reckoning is coming. Best hope for a substantive China trade deal and a last minute
Macro trade of the century: Long gold in CNY; short global equities.
via @TaviCosta: Long gold in CNY; short global equities. Remarkable how well this trade performed in all Chinese and global economic downturns of the last 40 years. In-depth analysis follows below:
Global macro data may bounce in the next month, but the long term trend of low growth and disinflation prevails. … And central planners will not change it…. Bloomberg: The Fed’s Failures Are Mounting
Have we seen the bottom in macro data? Global macro data may bounce in the next month, but the long term trend of low growth and disinflation prevails. … And
Latest macro: A deep dive into US profit margins and earnings. When detrending margins, they don’t look so hot for this stage of the cycle
via @ericbeebo: Companies with fatter margins may be maintaining them for not-so-good reasons: declining competition Watch trends in NIPA earnings and margins — they lead the S&P, and the S&P in
Macro Tourist: “Trump Is the First Modern Monetary Theory President”
via themacrotourist: I have become fascinated by MMT (Modern Monetary Theory). Sure, you can crap all over it, but I am not so sure there isn’t much to learn by opening
JPMorgan: “Unique Macro Environment” Calls for Unique Asset Solution, so Buy Gold… MarketWatch: “Gold Will Keep Rising — Here Are 13 Ways to Profit From the Rally”
JPMorgan: “Unique Macro Environment” Calls for Unique Asset Solution, so Buy Gold “They like gold on the idea that the Fed will erode real yields to spur the economy, undermining
More signs of macro slowdown, and what this means for stocks
by Troy Throughout this extremely persistent rally, the stock market keeps ramping higher in the final hour of each trading day. While some bearish traders see this as a sign of government “manipulation”,
Macro Frost – Makes you wonder who’s doing all the buying. Markets are blazing hot, but there’s a macro frost in the air.
by northmantrader Markets are red hot, but it keeps getting downright frosty in macro land. Bulls will say none of this matters because an easy Fed trumps fundamentals. And that may
Macro Risks Could Cause Downturn That ‘Rivals’ Global Financial Crisis
via marketwatch: An escalating trade war, a hard landing in China, and Brexit could prompt a global recession U.S. investors are once again paying attention to the dark clouds gathering over