by jessefelder A few years ago, I was studying the relationship between the major stock market indexes and their volatility indexes and I came across and an intriguing phenomenon. The vast majority of the time these indexes move in opposite …
City AM (via MSN): The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank could signal the “dominoes are starting to fall” after an abrupt end to the era of low interest rates and cheap money, the boss of the world’s biggest asset manager …
Full Podcast: https://t.co/hF08AVcJZG — Chief Nerd (@TheChiefNerd) March 10, 2023
By Graham Summers, MBA I’m getting sick of the lies. I keep hearing from supposed gurus and commentators (not to mention the White House) that inflation is on the decline… but whenever I go to the grocery store or try …
By Lance Roberts We recently discussed the recession signals from the NFIB (National Federation Of Independent Business) and the inverted yield curve. “As in 2019, we see many of the same recession signals from the NFIB survey again combined with a high …
US Leading Economic Index in the toilet h/t laflammaster
by BoatSurfer600 The Leading Economic Index, published by the Conference Board, is now below a threshold that the group says is a recession signal. The index has 10 components that it is based on, including stock market performance and initial …
In addition to providing high-speed internet connectivity to even the most remote corners of the Earth, the over 3,000 satellites that make up the Starlink network have the potential to do even more, like replace the two dozen satellites that …
by Shaun Richards It has been a rough ten days or so for the Bank of England since its last policy meeting and we have a new turn in its policy which is the intervention of its Financial Policy Committee …
by Ryan McMaken of Mises Institute Money supply growth fell again in August, dropping to a 36-month low. August’s drop continues a steep downward trend from the unprecedented highs experienced during much of the past two years. During the thirteen months between April 2020 and April …
By Graham Summers, MBA As I noted in yesterday’s article, if you want to make real money from the markets, you need to ignore what the Fed is saying and focus on price. By quick way of review, the Fed …
by confoundedinterest17 As the US is engulfed in inflation while The Federal Reserve is engaged in trying to fight inflation (well, sort of), we are seeing markets taking a shellacking, particularly commodities. One indicator of a slowdown is declining commodity prices. Crude oil futures are …
h/t catbro25
Even if you deny the signal of a 2s30s inversion, can we all appreciate the speed of this move? pic.twitter.com/3DD1gDhAFr — Eric Basmajian (@EPBResearch) April 1, 2022 Short sellers are increasing their bets on a stock market crash Will there …
TOPICS AND TIMESTAMPS: It’s On 0:00 Bond Market Mayhem 0:36 China Market Chaos 9:02 Recession Turmoil 11:17
#RUT $IWM US Small Caps ETFHolding the same Support for 1 Year.~8 Touches🧐 pic.twitter.com/KTdWWzPv1W — Antonio Pérez-Algás (@apanalis) January 11, 2022 "Hindenburg" SELL Signal hit today… 🚨 pic.twitter.com/FC9DUgz1Jy — Max Rockatansky (@Cycle_Watcher) January 11, 2022 What Happens If the Fed …
by jessefelder “When you get a range expansion, the market is sending you a very loud, clear signal that the market is getting ready to move in the direction of that expansion.” -Paul Tudor Jones Back in September I suggested it …
by Jason Burack of Wall St For Main St The VIX is now up over 40% in the last 2 trading days and the Dollar Index is still rallying to over 96. Plus, foreign government bond credit default swaps are now spiking! Commit …
Financial history teaches many lessons. Let’s look at a notable “divergence” which occurred before the historic 2007 stock market top. Learn why this divergence served as an early-warning sign for stocks so you can apply the lesson currently and in …
Via SchiffGold.com, Retail sales surged at a higher than expected rate in October, rising 1.7%. The mainstream reported this as fantastic news signaling a strong economy. American consumers are out there buying lots of stuff. The stock market rallied and …
Vladimir Putin has sent nuclear bombers over the skies of Belarus as migrants on the Polish border try to flee towards Britain and escape alleged beatings from Alexander Lukashenko’s soldiers. Two supersonic Tu-22M3 bombers performed ‘tasks of combat alert for …
by Kimble Charting When crude oil prices rise, investors typically think of an improving global economy. But when crude oil price rise sharply (by a large amount over a short duration), investors worry about supply issues and/or inflation. Today, both concerns …
Millions of people have lost their unemployment benefits. The U.S. consumer is maxed out. They need more stimulus in order to continue this economy. And of course, stocks need their artificial boost as well. The U.S. consumer is maxed out. …
by confoundedinterest17 The next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is next week with an announcement on Wednesday, September 22nd. (Bloomberg) — Volume in the December 2024 eurodollar futures contract has surged Friday, approaching 200k, highest in the strip. Weekly volume …
Credit card debt is a serious issue today as it has surged at a record pace. Inflation is everywhere today! Real estate continues to increase in price right now as we see low interest rates keep this going. There is …
Economist Stephen Roach warns Beijing’s crackdown against U.S.-listed China stocks will have widespread market implications. Roach, who is considered one of the world’s leading experts on Asia, believes the actions are signaling the early stages of a cold war. “I …
For the first time ever, Junk-Bond Rally Pulls Yields Below Inflation https://www.wsj.com/articles/junk-bon… Within only 2-3 months after corporate bond and credit markets froze up completely in February and March 2020, Wall St bond salespeople restarted selling (and increasing) massive amounts …
by Graham Summers of Gains, Pains, & Capital Over the last three days, I’ve been outlining how the Fed “spooked” the bond markets into believing it will move to crush inflation sometime in the next 18 months. Yesterday we detailed why the Fed …
