Powell Just Signaled That The Next Crisis Is Here
Via Investment Research Dynamics Housing and auto sales appear to have hit a wall over the last 8-12 weeks. To be sure, online holiday sales jumped significantly year over year, … Read more
signaled
The Dynamic Linearly Detrended Aggregate Spread Signaled That A Recession Could Start Near Oct 2017, But Not Later Than 28 Mos From Jan 2017 (May 2019)
The Dynamic Linearly Detrended Aggregate Spread signaled that a recession could start near Oct 2017, but not later than 28 mos from Jan 2017 (May 2019) The average time to … Read more
Lynette Zang: The Next Collapse, Signaled by the Bond Market
ITM Trading, Released on 2/2/18 Something is going on in the global bond market and it doesn’t look good for most of the other markets. In the US Treasury market, … Read more
GE just signaled the next crisis and nobody’s paying attention
by Simon Black Earlier this month, General Electric took a $6.2 billion charge to its insurance unit for the fourth quarter. And the company said it will set aside another $15 … Read more
Citi labels 2s/5s US yield spread as the best interest rate chart in the world. Bear flattening signaled Savings and Loan Crisis in the late 1980s, the Dot-Com crash in the early 2000s and the GFC in 2007.
twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/933449988276916224 TROUBLE? What is the predictive power of the yield curve? Shape of the yield curve, advanced by 15 mths, has a decent fit w/US GDP growth. But yield curve … Read more