Testing in the USA has stalled at 150k per day

by kiwidrew

Here’s an updated chart of the daily COVID-19 testing situation in the United States. For the past week, the total number of tests completed has stalled at a level of around 150,000 per day level, and the number of confirmed cases has also stalled at around 30,000 per day. (Again, the positive test rate is 20% — 1 out of every 5 tests! — which is quite high and indicates that only the most serious cases are being considered for testing.)

preview.redd.it/pllus6puqhs41.png?width=870&format=png&auto=webp&s=dcc09249003cf26b9d282c6541d67290508fc792

This suggests that the recent decline in the USA confirmed case growth rate (which manifests itself on a log-scale chart as a flattening of the curve) is simply a testing bottleneck as opposed to any kind of real success in reducing the spread. It’s obvious that the USA continues to test only the most serious cases and that no attempt is being made to increase test capacity and determine the level of community spread.

Date Total Tests Positive Tests Positive (%)
2020-04-01 103,481 25,251 24.40%
2020-04-02 121,955 28,074 23.02%
2020-04-03 132,011 32,054 24.28%
2020-04-04 229,268 33,536 14.63%
2020-04-05 122,603 25,974 21.19%
2020-04-06 149,248 28,752 19.26%
2020-04-07 148,099 30,437 20.55%
2020-04-08 139,536 30,133 21.60%
2020-04-09 162,789 34,346 21.10%
2020-04-10 153,927 34,617 22.49%
2020-04-11 136,384 29,591 21.70%
2020-04-12 140,226 28,983 20.67%

Data source:
covidtracking.com/api/us/daily.csv

 

Take extra care: official statistic might be heavily deflated (detection rate hard cutoff at 33k/day – not natural)

 

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