I love this man
"The professionals did the models, I was never involved in a model … at least this kind of model."
— Joey Saladino (@JoeySalads) April 4, 2020
Data taken from covid19.healthdata.org/projections on 4/1/20.
Projected:
4/5: 9,877 (8,930-10,652)
4/7: 13,430 (11,634-14,964)
4/10: 19,880 (16,143- 23,357)
4/15: 32,441 (23,374-41,617)
4/20: 45,258 (29,159 – 63,286)
5/1: 68,187 (37,027- 110,658)
6/1: 91,388 (41,380 – 170,430)
7/1: 93,665 (41,399 – 177,065)
8/1: 93,765 (41,399 – 177,381)
As of 4/3, the total is 7,404. We will likely hit 9,877 by Sunday. The model is turning out to be accurate in the short term.
NEW: Fri 3 April update of coronavirus trajectories
First, daily new deaths
• US & UK both likely to pass Spain for peak daily deaths
• Daily death tolls in the thousands to become the norm in US
• UK now clearly steeper than ItalyLive charts: t.co/JxVd2cG7KI pic.twitter.com/82L1B5mx35
— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) April 3, 2020
AC