There really isn't a "normal" market. Things change, something odd is always happening.
But this, this is something else. pic.twitter.com/mfK9uf56Fp
— SentimenTrader (@sentimentrader) February 11, 2021
Excellent analysis from DB/SG and @johnauthers – on the historic Black Swan in Stocks:
1) Shorting high short-interest Stocks was profitable for 20 years – now ALL gains were wiped out
— Macro Charts (@MacroCharts) February 12, 2021
The junk bond mkt rebranded to the 'High Yield' market because it offered .. er .. high yields. Today it offers 3.9%
HY defaults have averaged ~4% p/yr since 1980, and all you're getting to underwrite that is 3.9%
who's buying this stuff? is fiduciary not a thing anymore? pic.twitter.com/BFBRT97ZnF
— Dylan Grice (@dylangrice) February 12, 2021
Everything bad is now good, market edition.
The stock market is the meme market now.
From the GameStop (GME) saga to Tesla’s Bitcoin buy (BTC-USD) to Elon’s Dogecoin (DOGE-USD) purchase, it seems like any internet-based humor that is even vaguely financial manages to impact asset prices.
But factoring in how much of a meme a given asset might be is just not part of traditional portfolio management or anything they teach in the CFA program. Yet.
What investment managers do learn, however, is that sometimes in markets everything that seems like it shouldn’t happen does. In other words, there are market moments during which it makes sense to think about what trades might make the least sense. And there you find your winners.
“Imagine for a moment that a portfolio manager describes their investment process as follows: they focus exclusively on companies with deteriorating or questionable business prospects, and lots of debt,” writes Credit Suisse analyst Patrick Palfry in a note to clients published Tuesday.