Trending Toward Zero: Home Price Growth Slumps to 4-Year Low

via MarketWatch:

The numbers: The S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city index rose a seasonally adjusted 0.3% in November compared to October and was 4.7% higher compared to a year ago. That was the slowest pace of annual growth since January 2015.

What happened: Home price growth just kept slowing as housing headwinds gathered late last year. The headline number for the Case-Shiller report covering the three months ending in November missed the Econoday consensus forecast of a 4.9% yearly increase.

See also: Existing-home sales slide to a 3-year low as housing market stumbles

Big picture: In normal times, a near-5% yearly increase for home prices would be just about right. But these are hardly normal times for the American housing market. Scant supply and oversized demand have pushed prices too high, and even with the recent cooling, it’s not clear whether there’s inventory, or financing, that will help make housing available to everyone who needs it.

In November, the metro areas with the biggest year-on-year gains were Las Vegas, Phoenix, and Seattle. But many of the biggest losers on a monthly basis were the cities where prices had surged: Denver, San Francisco, and, yes, Seattle.

Metro area Monthly change 12-Month change
Atlanta 0.3% 6.2%
Boston 0.1% 5.6%
Charlotte 0.2% 5.5%
Chicago -0.7% 3.1%
Cleveland -0.7% 4.6%
Dallas 0.2% 4.0%
Denver -0.3% 6.2%
Detroit -0.4% 5.7%
Las Vegas 0.0% 12.0%
Los Angeles -0.3% 4.4%
Miami 0.3% 5.0%
Minneapolis -0.2% 5.8%
New York 0.4% 3.5%
Phoenix 0.3% 8.1%
Portland -0.5% 4.4%
San Diego -0.6% 3.3%
San Francisco -0.7% 5.6%
Seattle -0.7% 6.3%
Tampa 0.4% 5.7%
Washington 0.0% 2.7%

 

535 views