US M2 money supply is rising at the fastest pace in five years, investors brace for global stagflation.

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https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/Current/

Investors see the combination of rising money supply and ongoing supply hits as the setup for prices that stay high even if activity slows. That mismatch is what stagflation looks like in real time.

Most investors expect stagflation—weak growth combined with high inflation—over the next 12 months, Bank of America’s August survey shows.

49% expect stagflation, up from 47% in July.

Meanwhile, 43% expect an economic boom, the highest level since February 2022.

Optimism is fading, however, with just a net 14% expecting stronger global growth, down from 21% last month.

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